This is an archived edition. For the latest picks see College Football Picks Today, updated every game day.
College Football Picks Today: Spread and Total Picks for Thursday, October 29
Every prop on today's slate, ranked live: College Football Player Props Today
The picks
2 picks
Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Odds may have moved since publishing.
Thursday night brings one game where PropFinder's projections give a clear view on both the side and the total: Florida Atlantic at North Texas. I compare PropFinder's game projections with the market line and back the side where the model and the market disagree.
Both bets below come from that one AAC game, and both lean against the market's view of a lopsided shootout.
Florida Atlantic Owls at North Texas Mean Green
Florida Atlantic (5-2) visits North Texas (5-2) at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. PropFinder projects North Texas to win 39.6 to 30.3, a nine-point margin and 70 total points, which is well short of what the market is pricing.
FAU +14.5 (-108, Novig): PropFinder projects FAU to lose by 9.3
FAU +14.5
Point Spread
The market has North Texas favored by 14.5, while PropFinder's projection makes the Mean Green favorites by only 9.3. That 5.2-point gap gives Florida Atlantic +14.5 a 62% chance to cover in the model.
North Texas still wins 71% of the time in the projection, so this is a bet on the margin rather than an upset. The best price is -108 at Novig.
Under 77.5 (-106, Novig): PropFinder projects 70 total points
Under 77.5
Total Points
The market total is 77.5, while PropFinder projects 70 points, a gap of 7.5. The model gives the under a 67% chance of landing.
Both teams are projected to score plenty, but a number this high leaves little room for the game to run hot. The best price on the under is -106 at Novig.
Lines are consensus market numbers at the time of writing and move before kickoff. Projections are PropFinder's game model, not guarantees. Must be of legal age to wager. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, support is available: call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Odds and lines were accurate at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Must be 21+ and physically located in a jurisdiction where wagering is legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Jake Casso
Jake is a Chicago native and lifelong sports enthusiast who brings energy, creativity, and expertise to the PropFinder team. He plays a key role in developing educational livestreams and producing YouTube content that helps sports bettors better understand betting markets, strategies, and data-driven insights.
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