This is an archived edition. For the latest picks see College Football Picks Today, updated every game day.
College Football Picks Today: Spread and Total Picks for Saturday, October 24
Every prop on today's slate, ranked live: College Football Player Props Today
The picks
8 picks
Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Odds may have moved since publishing.
Saturday's college football card has plenty of games where PropFinder's projections disagree with the market. I looked at the biggest matchups and picked the spread and total bets where the model sees the clearest gap: Indiana at Michigan, Ole Miss at Texas, Houston at Utah, Tennessee at South Carolina and Oregon at Illinois.
Each pick comes from comparing PropFinder's game projections with the market line. I list the market number, the model number and the probability behind it. Lines move, so check your book before you bet.
Indiana Hoosiers at Michigan Wolverines
Indiana is 6-1 and Michigan is 4-2 in this Big Ten game at Michigan Stadium, kicking off at 12:00 p.m. ET on FOX. PropFinder projects Indiana to win 27.6 to 17.9, and the model sees value on both the side and the total.
IND -7.5 (+106, Novig): PropFinder projects IND by 9.7
IND -7.5
Point Spread
The market has Indiana at -7.5, while the model's line is Indiana by 9.7, a gap of 2.2 points. That gives Indiana a 55% chance to cover. The best price is +106 at Novig. Michigan's win probability is 28%, so the model likes the favorite to win and cover.
Over 42.5 (-104, Novig): PropFinder projects 45.6 total points
Over 42.5
Total Points
The total is 42.5, while the model projects 45.6 points, 3.1 above the market. PropFinder gives the Over a 57% chance, and the best price is -104 at Novig. With Indiana projected for 27.6 points on its own, the Over only needs a modest contribution from Michigan.
Ole Miss Rebels at Texas Longhorns
Ole Miss is 5-1 and Texas is 4-2 in this ABC prime time game at 7:30 p.m. ET. PropFinder projects Texas to win 30.3 to 24.6, giving the Longhorns a 63% win probability.
TEX -3 (-112, DraftKings): PropFinder projects TEX by 5.7
TEX -3
Point Spread
The market has Texas at -3, while the model's line is Texas by 5.7, a gap of 2.7 points. That gives Texas a 56% chance to cover. The best price is -112 at DraftKings. The model also sees a 63% chance of an outright Texas win, which supports laying the short number at home.
Houston Cougars at Utah Utes
Houston is 6-1 and visits Utah in the late window at 10:15 p.m. ET on ESPN. PropFinder projects Utah to win 29.8 to 25.0, for a combined 54.8 points.
Under 57.5 (-104, Novig): PropFinder projects 54.8 total points
Under 57.5
Total Points
The total is 57.5, while the model projects 54.8 points, 2.7 below the market. PropFinder gives the Under a 56% chance, and the best price is -104 at Novig. A projected combined score of 54.8 sits well short of the market number, so the Under is the lean.
Tennessee Volunteers at South Carolina Gamecocks
Tennessee is 6-1 and South Carolina is 3-3 in this SEC game at 3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. PropFinder projects Tennessee to win 29.5 to 25.3.
TENN +2.5 (-104, Novig): PropFinder projects TENN by 4.3
TENN +2.5
Point Spread
The pick is Tennessee +2.5. The model's line is Tennessee by 4.3, a 6.8 point gap from the market, and PropFinder gives the pick a 65% chance to cover at -104 at Novig. South Carolina's win probability in the model is 40%.
Over 50.5 (-104, Novig): PropFinder projects 54.8 total points
Over 50.5
Total Points
The total is 50.5, while the model projects 54.8 points, 4.3 above the market. PropFinder gives the Over a 60% chance, and the best price is -104 at Novig. Both teams are projected for at least 25 points.
Oregon Ducks at Illinois Fighting Illini
Oregon is 4-2 and Illinois is 3-3 in this Big Ten game at 3:00 p.m. ET on BTN. PropFinder projects Oregon to win 33.4 to 20.5, and the model leans to the favorite and the Over.
ORE -10 (-108, DraftKings): PropFinder projects ORE by 12.8
ORE -10
Point Spread
The market has Oregon at -10, while the model's line is Oregon by 12.8, a gap of 2.8 points. That gives Oregon a 57% chance to cover, and the best price is -108 at DraftKings. Illinois has a 23% win probability.
Over 49.5 (-100, Novig): PropFinder projects 53.9 total points
Over 49.5
Total Points
The total is 49.5, while the model projects 53.9 points, 4.4 above the market. PropFinder gives the Over a 60% chance, and the best price is -100 at Novig. Oregon is projected for 33.4 points alone, which is most of the way there.
Lines are consensus market numbers at the time of writing and move before kickoff. Projections are PropFinder's game model, not guarantees. Must be of legal age to wager. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, support is available: call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Odds and lines were accurate at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Must be 21+ and physically located in a jurisdiction where wagering is legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Jake Casso
Jake is a Chicago native and lifelong sports enthusiast who brings energy, creativity, and expertise to the PropFinder team. He plays a key role in developing educational livestreams and producing YouTube content that helps sports bettors better understand betting markets, strategies, and data-driven insights.
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