This is an archived edition. For the latest picks see College Football Picks Today, updated every game day.
College Football Picks Today: Spread and Total Picks for Thursday, November 5
Every prop on today's slate, ranked live: College Football Player Props Today
The picks
4 picks
Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Odds may have moved since publishing.
Thursday has a short college football slate, so I am covering the two games where PropFinder's projections see the clearest gap against the market: UTSA at Florida Atlantic and James Madison at Southern Miss. Neither involves a team near the top of PropFinder's power ratings, so these are the night's best options rather than marquee games.
My picks come from comparing PropFinder's game projections with the market line. When the model sees a meaningful difference on a spread or total, I write it up and show the probability behind it. Lines move, so check the number before you bet.
UTSA Roadrunners at Florida Atlantic Owls
UTSA visits Florida Atlantic at 7:30 PM ET on ESPN. The Roadrunners are 7-1 and the Owls are 5-3. PropFinder's projection has UTSA winning 38 to 29.
UTSA -6.75: PropFinder projects UTSA by 9.1
UTSA -6.75
Point Spread
The market has UTSA favored by 6.75, while PropFinder's model makes the Roadrunners a 9.1 point favorite, an edge of 2.3 points. The model gives UTSA a 55% chance to cover at -6.75.
Florida Atlantic has just a 30% chance to win outright in the projection, so UTSA laying the points is where I land.
Under 72.5 (-104, Novig): PropFinder projects 66.7 total points
Under 72.5
Total Points
The total sits at 72.5, but PropFinder projects 66.7 combined points, 5.8 below the market. The model puts the Under at a 63% chance to hit. The best price I found is -104 at Novig.
That is the largest edge on the board tonight, and I like the Under even with two offenses that can score.
James Madison Dukes at Southern Miss Golden Eagles
James Madison travels to Southern Miss at 8:00 PM ET on ESPN2. The Dukes are 7-2 and the Golden Eagles are 3-5. PropFinder's model projects James Madison to win 36 to 19.
JMU -13.5 (-100, Novig): PropFinder projects JMU by 17
JMU -13.5
Point Spread
James Madison is favored by 13.5 on the market, while PropFinder's model projects a 17 point margin, an edge of 3.5 points. The model gives the Dukes a 58% chance to cover, and the best price is -100 at Novig.
Southern Miss has only a 16% chance to win outright in the projection, so I trust the Dukes to cover the big number.
Under 58 (-110, Caesars): PropFinder projects 55.8 total points
Under 58
Total Points
The total is 58, while PropFinder projects 55.8 combined points, 2.2 below the market. That gives the Under a 55% chance, with the best price at -110 at Caesars.
This is a smaller edge than the spread, but the model leans toward fewer points here.
Lines are consensus market numbers at the time of writing and move before kickoff. Projections are PropFinder's game model, not guarantees. Must be of legal age to wager. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, support is available: call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Odds and lines were accurate at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Must be 21+ and physically located in a jurisdiction where wagering is legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Jake Casso
Jake is a Chicago native and lifelong sports enthusiast who brings energy, creativity, and expertise to the PropFinder team. He plays a key role in developing educational livestreams and producing YouTube content that helps sports bettors better understand betting markets, strategies, and data-driven insights.
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