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Best College Football Player Props Today: Big Game Picks for Thursday, November 5
Every prop on today's slate, ranked live: College Football Player Props Today
The picks
4 picks
Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Odds may have moved since publishing.
Thursday night has a short college football slate, so I am focusing on the two games with the best prop value I can find: UTSA at Florida Atlantic and James Madison at Southern Miss. Neither matchup involves a team near the top of PropFinder's power ratings, so I would call these the night's games rather than marquee ones.
Every pick here starts with the PF Rating, which blends the game environment, the opposing defense, recent hit rates and scoring averages into one number. I only back the props that grade out best, and I show you the best price I found across sportsbooks.
UTSA Roadrunners at Florida Atlantic Owls
UTSA comes to Boca Raton at 7:30 PM ET on ESPN with a 7-1 record, while Florida Atlantic is 5-3. UTSA sits 46th in PropFinder's power ratings and the Owls are 93rd, so the Roadrunners should control the scoreboard. A high game total makes this a good place to look for volume and scoring props.
Michael Petro Over 4.5 Extra Points Kicks Made (-180, DraftKings)
Michael Petro
Over 4.5 Extra Points Kicks Made
Michael Petro is UTSA's kicker, and the Roadrunners should be putting plenty of points on the board against Florida Atlantic. He gets a PF Rating of 97.9 on the Over 4.5 extra points made, with the best price at DraftKings at -180.
Petro has cleared the number in 2 of 2 games this season and averages 5.5 extra points made, so the sample is small. The matchup helps, since Florida Atlantic ranks 33rd against kickers, and the game total of 73 supports a lot of touchdowns.
Kelby Valsin Over 6.5 Receptions (+112, FanDuel)
Kelby Valsin
Over 6.5 Receptions
Kelby Valsin is Florida Atlantic's top receiving option, and he gets a PF Rating of 85.2 on Over 6.5 receptions at +112 at FanDuel. The plus-money price on a line he averages past is what stands out to me.
Valsin has gone over 6.5 in 4 of his last 5 and 6 of 8 this season, averaging 7.2 catches over his last five and 7.5 for the year. UTSA ranks 48th against wide receivers, and Florida Atlantic should be chasing the game, which usually means more targets.
James Madison Dukes at Southern Miss Golden Eagles
James Madison visits Southern Miss at 8:00 PM ET on ESPN2. The Dukes are 7-2 and sit 59th in PropFinder's power ratings, while the Golden Eagles are 3-5 and 122nd. James Madison is the heavy favorite, but the total of 58 still leaves room for the home side's skill players to put up numbers.
Steven Robinson Over 99.5 Rushing And Receiving Yards (-115, Fanatics)
Steven Robinson
Over 99.5 Rushing And Receiving Yards
Steven Robinson has a PF Rating of 93 on Over 99.5 rushing and receiving yards, with the best price at Fanatics at -115. He is Southern Miss's primary weapon in both phases, which gives him a high floor for yardage.
Robinson is 3 of 3 this season and averages 145.7 combined yards, though three games is a small sample. James Madison ranks 48th against running backs, and a line near 100 sits well below his average.
Mario Sanders II Over 69.5 Receiving Yards (-110, DraftKings)
Mario Sanders II
Over 69.5 Receiving Yards
Mario Sanders II has a PF Rating of 78.3 on Over 69.5 receiving yards at DraftKings at -110. Southern Miss figures to throw plenty if it falls behind, and Sanders is the main target to benefit.
He has cleared the line in 3 of his last 5 and 5 of 8 this season, averaging 77 yards over his last five and 77.25 on the year. James Madison ranks 56th against wide receivers, a soft spot to attack.
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Jake Casso
Jake is a Chicago native and lifelong sports enthusiast who brings energy, creativity, and expertise to the PropFinder team. He plays a key role in developing educational livestreams and producing YouTube content that helps sports bettors better understand betting markets, strategies, and data-driven insights.
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