This is an archived edition. For the latest picks see NBA Prop Picks Today, updated every game day.
NBA Prop Picks Today: Best Player Props for Monday, November 2
Every prop on today's slate, ranked live: NBA Player Props Today
The picks
6 picksPicks are opinions, not guarantees. Odds may have moved since publishing.
Monday gives us a busy NBA night, and I went through the board for the player props that grade out best. Today's six picks come from four games: Brooklyn at New York, Miami at the Lakers, Portland at Denver and Phoenix at Golden State, running from the early tip in New York through the late games out West.
The picks are ranked by PF Rating, highest first, and each one comes with the best price I found across the books we track. Lines move through the day, so check the number before you bet.
Noah Clowney Under 1.5 Three Pointers (-170, DraftKings)
Noah Clowney
Under 1.5 Three Pointers
Noah Clowney leads the card with a PF Rating of 97 on the Under 1.5 three pointers against the Knicks. Clowney has stayed under this number in 9 of his last 10 games, averaging 0.8 made threes over that stretch, and he is 6 of 6 this season, a small early sample but a clean one. New York ranks 27th of 30 against power forwards, among the stingiest defenses at the position. The one caution is his history against the Knicks, where he is 4 of 8.
Davion Mitchell Over 9.5 Points (-213, Betano)
Davion Mitchell
Over 9.5 Points
Davion Mitchell carries a PF Rating of 96 on Over 9.5 points against the Lakers. Mitchell has cleared this line in 9 of his last 10 games while averaging 16.1 points, well above the number, and he is 6 of 6 this season in a small sample. The matchup helps too: Los Angeles ranks 2nd of 30 against point guards, one of the softest defenses at the position. His record against the Lakers is mixed at 3 of 7, and the best price of -213 at Betano is on the expensive side.
Keon Ellis Under 0.5 Free Throws Made (-167, Betano)
Keon Ellis
Under 0.5 Free Throws Made
Keon Ellis grades out at a PF Rating of 96 on the Under 0.5 free throws made in Brooklyn's game at New York. Ellis has finished without a made free throw in 8 of his last 10 games, averaging 0.4 over that span, and he is 6 of 6 this season, though that is an early sample. He has also stayed under in 7 of 10 games against the Knicks, and New York ranks 27th of 30 against shooting guards, one of the tougher spots for the position.
Bam Adebayo Over 2.5 Assists (-230, Hard Rock)
Bam Adebayo
Over 2.5 Assists
Bam Adebayo has a PF Rating of 93 on Over 2.5 assists against the Lakers. Adebayo has topped this line in 9 of his last 10 games, averaging 4.0 assists, and he is 6 of 6 this season. He has also gone over in 5 of 6 games against Los Angeles, a short history but a favorable one. The Lakers rank 8th of 30 against centers, on the softer side of the league. At -230 with Hard Rock this is the priciest pick on the card, which reflects how often he has cleared it.
Nikola Jokic Over 11.5 Two Points Att (-160, Fanatics)
Nikola Jokic
Over 11.5 Two Points Att
Nikola Jokic posts a PF Rating of 92.5 on Over 11.5 two-point attempts at home against Portland. Jokic has gone over in 9 of his last 10 games, averaging 13.5 two-point attempts in that stretch, and he is 5 of 5 this season. He has cleared the number in 7 of 10 games against the Trail Blazers, and Portland ranks 5th of 30 against centers, one of the friendlier matchups at the position. The best price is -160 at Fanatics.
Draymond Green Over 5.5 Assists (-137, Bally Bet)
Draymond Green
Over 5.5 Assists
Draymond Green rounds out the card with a PF Rating of 92.4 on Over 5.5 assists as Golden State hosts Phoenix. Green has cleared this line in all 10 of his last 10 games, averaging 7.0 assists, and he is 5 of 5 this season. Phoenix ranks 2nd of 30 against centers, one of the softest matchups at the position. The caution is his history against the Suns, where he is 5 of 10. At -137 with Bally Bet, this is the most affordable price of the six picks.
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Jake Casso
Jake is a Chicago native and lifelong sports enthusiast who brings energy, creativity, and expertise to the PropFinder team. He plays a key role in developing educational livestreams and producing YouTube content that helps sports bettors better understand betting markets, strategies, and data-driven insights.
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