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NBA Prop Picks Today: Best Player Props for Thursday, October 29
Every prop on today's slate, ranked live: NBA Player Props Today
The picks
6 picks
Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Odds may have moved since publishing.
Thursday brings a compact three-game NBA slate, and I went through it looking for the player props our model likes best. Cleveland visits Atlanta and Sacramento heads to New Orleans at 8:00 PM ET, then Memphis and Portland close the night at 10:00 PM ET.
The picks below are ranked by PF Rating, so the strongest play comes first. Two come from the Cavaliers and Hawks, two from the Kings and Pelicans, and two from the Grizzlies and Trail Blazers. These are opinions and lines can move before tip-off, so check the price before you bet.
Mario Hezonja Over 2.5 Rebounds (-167, Betsafe)
Mario Hezonja
Over 2.5 Rebounds
Mario Hezonja over 2.5 rebounds tops the card with a PF Rating of 98. The sample is small, but he has cleared this number in 4 of his last 4 games, all of them this season, and his recent average sits at 3.5 rebounds. The matchup is the main draw: Atlanta has allowed the most to power forwards of any defense in the league, so there should be chances on the glass for Hezonja. The best price we found is -167 at Betsafe.
Evan Mobley Over 5.5 Field Goals Made (-205, Fanatics)
Evan Mobley
Over 5.5 Field Goals Made
Evan Mobley over 5.5 field goals made comes in right behind at a PF Rating of 97. He has gone over in 9 of his last 10 games, including all 4 this season, and his recent average is 6.9 makes. Mobley has also cleared this number in 7 of 8 games against Atlanta. Like his teammate, he draws a Hawks defense that has given up the most to power forwards. The price is steep at -205 on Fanatics, which reflects how strong the case is.
Dejounte Murray Over 9.5 Rebound Assists (-213, Betano)
Dejounte Murray
Over 9.5 Rebound Assists
Dejounte Murray over 9.5 rebounds plus assists carries a PF Rating of 90. He has cleared it in 10 of his last 10 games, with all 4 this season among them, and his recent average of 12.5 sits well above the line. Against Sacramento he is 2 of 3, a small sample worth noting. The Kings have allowed the eighth-most to shooting guards, which supports the over for Murray. The best available price is -213 at Betano.
Domantas Sabonis Over 17.5 Rebound Assists (-245, DraftKings)
Domantas Sabonis
Over 17.5 Rebound Assists
Domantas Sabonis over 17.5 rebounds plus assists also earns a PF Rating of 90. He has cleared it in 7 of his last 10 and in all 4 games this season, with a recent average of 19.2. Sabonis has hit this in 7 of 10 meetings with New Orleans as well. The matchup helps: the Pelicans have allowed the second-most to centers. At -245 on DraftKings this is the priciest pick on the card, so size it accordingly.
Jrue Holiday Over 1.5 Free Throws Att (-139, Betano)
Jrue Holiday
Over 1.5 Free Throws Att
Jrue Holiday over 1.5 free throw attempts has a PF Rating of 86.5. He has cleared this in 7 of his last 10 and in all 3 games this season, with a recent average of 3.1 attempts. Holiday is also 6 of 7 against Memphis. The Grizzlies have allowed the third-most to point guards, which should give him room to attack the basket and draw contact. The best number available is -139 at Betano.
Donovan Clingan Under 22.5 Pts + Reb + Ast (-106, DraftKings)
Donovan Clingan
Under 22.5 Pts + Reb + Ast
Donovan Clingan under 22.5 points, rebounds and assists rounds out the card with a PF Rating of 86. He has stayed under in 9 of his last 10 and in all 3 games this season, with a recent average of 18.7. Against Memphis he is 3 of 5, so the history there is more mixed. The Grizzlies have allowed the fewest to centers of any defense in the league, which favors the under for Clingan. It is also the cheapest price on the card at -106 on DraftKings.
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Jake Casso
Jake is a Chicago native and lifelong sports enthusiast who brings energy, creativity, and expertise to the PropFinder team. He plays a key role in developing educational livestreams and producing YouTube content that helps sports bettors better understand betting markets, strategies, and data-driven insights.
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