Best NFL Player Props Today

Sunday's NFL slate runs from the early window all the way to the night game, and my top player props today come from three matchups: the Colts at the Vikings, the Packers at the Lions and the Chiefs at the Seahawks in prime time.

As always, the picks are ranked by PF Rating, and each one lists the best price across the books we track. Lines move through the morning, so check the number before you bet.

Will Mallory Under 2.5 Receptions (-170, Fanatics)

RECEPTIONSIND@MIN· Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET

Will Mallory

Under 2.5 Receptions

Bet now-170

Will Mallory leads the way with a PF Rating of 98.1 on under 2.5 receptions as Indianapolis visits Minnesota. The sample is small: Mallory has stayed under in all 3 of his recent games, including his only game this season, with a recent average of 1.0 catch. Minnesota ranks 32nd of 32 against tight ends, a matchup our model grades in favor of the under. The best price is -170 at Fanatics.

Keisean Nixon Over 4.5 Defense Combined (-197, DraftKings)

DEFENSE COMBINEDGB@DET· Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET

Keisean Nixon

Over 4.5 Defense Combined

Bet now-197

Keisean Nixon carries a PF Rating of 97.5 on over 4.5 combined tackles in Green Bay's trip to Detroit. Nixon has cleared this line in 8 of his last 10 games and in all 6 games this season, with a recent average of 5.4. Against the Lions he has gone over in 4 of 6. Detroit ranks 4th of 32 against cornerbacks, a matchup that favors the over. The best price is -197 at DraftKings.

Jalen Royals Under 24.5 Receiving Yards (-150, Hard Rock)

RECEIVING YARDSKC@SEA· Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET

Jalen Royals

Under 24.5 Receiving Yards

Bet now-150

Jalen Royals is the first of two Kansas City receivers on the card, with a PF Rating of 96.9 on under 24.5 receiving yards at Seattle on Sunday night. Royals has stayed under in 10 of his last 10 games and in all 5 this season, with a recent average of 4.5 yards. Seattle ranks 32nd of 32 against wide receivers, a matchup our model grades in favor of the under. The best price is -150 at Hard Rock.

Andrew Armstrong Under 13.5 Receiving Yards (-155, Hard Rock)

RECEIVING YARDSKC@SEA· Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET

Andrew Armstrong

Under 13.5 Receiving Yards

Bet now-155

Andrew Armstrong also draws a PF Rating of 96.9, on under 13.5 receiving yards in the same game. This one comes with a very small sample: Armstrong has a single game on record, which stayed under, and his average of 13.0 yards sits close to this number, so the margin is thin. The Seattle matchup, 32nd of 32 against wide receivers, still leans toward the under. The best price is -155 at Hard Rock.

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