NHL Picks Today: Moneyline and Total Picks for Tuesday, November 3

Tuesday's NHL slate has nine games, and I'm covering the first six that carry a pick. Every play below comes from PropFinder's game projections compared with the market price, and I only list a game when the model disagrees with the market in a meaningful way.

Prices move through the day, so check your book before you bet. Each write-up gives the model's number, the market's number and the best price I found.

Minnesota Wild at Philadelphia Flyers

Minnesota (10-3-3) visits Philadelphia (4-8-4). The model projects a 2.97 to 2.59 Wild edge on the scoreboard. Jesper Wallstedt is the expected starter in the Minnesota net and Joseph Woll is expected for the Flyers.

Philadelphia Flyers moneyline (+167, Novig): PropFinder model 43.2% to win vs 39% implied

MONEYLINEMIN@PHI· Nov 3, 7:00 PM ET

Philadelphia Flyers

Moneyline

Bet now+167

The model gives Philadelphia a 43.2% chance to win, while the market implies 39.0%, a gap of 4.3 points. The best price is +167 at Novig. The model rates this a strong play, even though it also projects Minnesota to score slightly more, because the plus-money price pays more than the Flyers' chance of winning suggests it should.

Under 6 (-110, BetMGM): PropFinder projects 5.73 goals

TOTAL GOALSMIN@PHI· Nov 3, 7:00 PM ET

Under 6

Total Goals

Bet now-110

The model projects 5.73 total goals against a market line of 6, a gap of 0.27, and puts the under at 62.9%. The best price on Under 6 is -110 at BetMGM. Both expected goalies and a modest projected score for each side support a lower-scoring night.

Winnipeg Jets at Montreal Canadiens

Winnipeg (4-8-3) travels to Montreal (9-3-2). The model projects Montreal 3.68, Winnipeg 2.42. Jacob Fowler is the expected starter for the Canadiens and Stuart Skinner is expected for the Jets.

Montreal Canadiens moneyline (-174, Novig): PropFinder model 70.8% to win vs 63.4% implied

MONEYLINEWPG@MTL· Nov 3, 7:00 PM ET

Montreal Canadiens

Moneyline

Bet now-174

The model gives Montreal a 70.8% chance to win, compared with 63.4% implied by the market, an edge of 7.5 points. The best price is -174 at Novig. The model rates the Canadiens a strong play, backed by a full goal and a quarter of projected margin over a Jets team that is 4-8-3.

Vegas Golden Knights at Pittsburgh Penguins

Vegas (9-5-2) visits Pittsburgh (5-7-2). The model projects Pittsburgh 3.54, Vegas 3.11. Adin Hill is expected in the Golden Knights' net and Arturs Silovs is expected for the Penguins.

Pittsburgh Penguins moneyline (-106, Novig): PropFinder model 57% to win vs 49.8% implied

MONEYLINEVGK@PIT· Nov 3, 7:00 PM ET

Pittsburgh Penguins

Moneyline

Bet now-106

The model gives Pittsburgh a 57.0% chance to win, while the market prices it at 49.8%, a gap of 7.2 points. The best price is -106 at Novig, close to even money. The model rates the Penguins a strong play at home despite their record.

Colorado Avalanche at Columbus Blue Jackets

Colorado (9-5-1) visits Columbus (5-7-0). The model projects a tight game, Colorado 3.08 and Columbus 2.96. Scott Wedgewood is confirmed in the Avalanche net and Jet Greaves is expected for the Blue Jackets.

Columbus Blue Jackets moneyline (+114, Bally Bet): PropFinder model 47.9% to win vs 45.7% implied

MONEYLINECOL@CBJ· Nov 3, 7:00 PM ET

Columbus Blue Jackets

Moneyline

Bet now+114

The model gives Columbus a 47.9% chance to win, compared with 45.7% implied by the market, an edge of 2.2 points. The best price is +114 at Bally Bet. The model rates this a strong play, though the gap is smaller than on the other sides today, so treat it as a more modest opinion.

Under 6 (+101, Caesars): PropFinder projects 6.2 goals

TOTAL GOALSCOL@CBJ· Nov 3, 7:00 PM ET

Under 6

Total Goals

Bet now+101

The model's projected total is 6.2 against a market line of 6, yet it still puts the under at 55.1%. The best price on Under 6 is +101 at Caesars. Those two signals point in slightly different directions, so this is the least clear-cut play on the card.

St. Louis Blues at New York Rangers

St. Louis (7-6-1) visits the Rangers (7-7-1). The model projects an almost even score, St. Louis 2.79 and New York 2.85. Joel Hofer is expected for the Blues and Dylan Garand is expected for the Rangers.

Under 6 (-110, BetMGM): PropFinder projects 5.81 goals

TOTAL GOALSSTL@NYR· Nov 3, 7:00 PM ET

Under 6

Total Goals

Bet now-110

The model projects 5.81 total goals against a market line of 6, a gap of 0.19, and puts the under at 61.5%. The best price on Under 6 is -110 at BetMGM. Neither team is projected to reach three goals, which fits a low-scoring game.

Dallas Stars at Washington Capitals

Dallas (8-5-1) visits Washington (8-5-0). The model projects Washington 3.05, Dallas 2.73. Jake Oettinger is expected in the Stars' net and Logan Thompson is expected for the Capitals.

Washington Capitals moneyline (-102, Novig): PropFinder model 55.7% to win vs 50% implied

MONEYLINEDAL@WSH· Nov 3, 7:00 PM ET

Washington Capitals

Moneyline

Bet now-102

The model gives Washington a 55.7% chance to win, while the market sees a coin flip at 50.0%, a gap of 5.7 points. The best price is -102 at Novig. The model rates the Capitals a strong play at home, essentially at even money.

Prices are the best we found at the time of writing and move before game time. Projections are PropFinder's game model, not guarantees. This page may contain affiliate links. Must be of legal age to wager. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, support is available: call 1-800-GAMBLER.