NHL Picks Today

Five NHL games on the Sunday slate carry picks today. They come from PropFinder's game projections compared with the market, and I only include a game where the model disagrees with the price in a clear way.

All five games have a moneyline pick, all on the home team, and two of them also have a total lean under. Prices move, so check your book before you bet.

Florida Panthers at Chicago Blackhawks

Florida (5-4-2) visits Chicago (3-7-0). PropFinder projects a 3.09 to 2.84 edge for the Panthers. Akira Schmid is confirmed in goal for Florida, and Spencer Knight is expected to start for the Blackhawks.

Chicago Blackhawks moneyline (+167, Novig): PropFinder model 45.7% to win vs 38.2% implied

MONEYLINEFLA@CHI· Oct 25, 3:00 PM ET

Chicago Blackhawks

Moneyline

Bet now+167

The model gives Chicago a 45.7% chance to win, while the market implies 38.2%. That is a 7.5-point gap, and the model rates the Blackhawks a strong play. The best price is +167 at Novig.

Chicago has the worst record in this matchup, but the projection sees a closer game than the line suggests, and a plus-money price on a team the model likes this much stands out.

Under 6.5 (-120, Hard Rock): PropFinder projects 6.1 goals

TOTAL GOALSFLA@CHI· Oct 25, 3:00 PM ET

Under 6.5

Total Goals

Bet now-120

PropFinder projects 6.1 total goals against a market line of 6.5, a gap of 0.4 goals. The model puts the probability of the under at 56.8%. The best price is -120 at Hard Rock on Under 6.5.

With both goalies in the lineup and neither side projected above 3.1 goals, the model sees fewer goals than the market does.

New York Islanders at Dallas Stars

The Islanders (5-3-2) visit Dallas (6-3-1). PropFinder projects a 3.07 to 2.21 win for the Stars. Ilya Sorokin is expected in goal for New York, and Jake Oettinger is expected to start for Dallas.

Dallas Stars moneyline (-178, Novig): PropFinder model 65.6% to win vs 63.1% implied

MONEYLINENYI@DAL· Oct 25, 6:00 PM ET

Dallas Stars

Moneyline

Bet now-178

The model gives Dallas a 65.6% chance to win against 63.1% implied by the market. It is a small edge, so the model rates the Stars a lean rather than a strong play. The best price is -178 at Novig.

This is the most expensive price on the board, so the margin for error is thin. It suits a smaller stake than the strong plays.

Under 5.5 (-113, Novig): PropFinder projects 5.44 goals

TOTAL GOALSNYI@DAL· Oct 25, 6:00 PM ET

Under 5.5

Total Goals

Bet now-113

The model projects 5.44 total goals against a line of 5.5, a gap of 0.06 goals, and puts the under at 56.8%. The best price is -113 at Novig on Under 5.5.

Dallas is projected for just over three goals and New York for barely over two, with two expected starters in net, which points toward a lower-scoring game.

Montreal Canadiens at Winnipeg Jets

Montreal (5-3-2) visits Winnipeg (4-3-3). PropFinder projects a 3.15 to 2.92 edge for the Jets. Jakub Dobes is expected in goal for the Canadiens, and Stuart Skinner is expected to start for Winnipeg.

Winnipeg Jets moneyline (+108, Novig): PropFinder model 53.9% to win vs 48.2% implied

MONEYLINEMTL@WPG· Oct 25, 7:00 PM ET

Winnipeg Jets

Moneyline

Bet now+108

The model gives Winnipeg a 53.9% chance to win, while the market implies 48.2%. That is a 5.8-point edge, and the model rates the Jets a strong play. The best price is +108 at Novig.

The model has the home team as a slight favorite, yet the market has it as a slight underdog, which is why the price is plus money.

Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators

Colorado (6-4-1) visits Nashville (3-3-4). PropFinder projects a 3.37 to 2.83 edge for the Avalanche. Mackenzie Blackwood is expected in goal for Colorado, and Justus Annunen is expected to start for the Predators.

Nashville Predators moneyline (+213, Novig): PropFinder model 40.8% to win vs 33.6% implied

MONEYLINECOL@NSH· Oct 25, 8:00 PM ET

Nashville Predators

Moneyline

Bet now+213

The model gives Nashville a 40.8% chance to win, against 33.6% implied by the market. That is a 7.2-point gap, and the model rates the Predators a strong play. The best price is +213 at Novig.

Colorado is the projected winner, but the model thinks the market is too far toward the Avalanche, and this is the longest price on today's slate.

Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks

Minnesota (7-3-2) visits Vancouver (2-9-1). PropFinder projects a 3.42 to 3.04 edge for the Wild. Calvin Pickard is confirmed in goal for Minnesota, and Leevi Merilainen is expected to start for the Canucks.

Vancouver Canucks moneyline (+174, Novig): PropFinder model 43.7% to win vs 37.5% implied

MONEYLINEMIN@VAN· Oct 25, 10:00 PM ET

Vancouver Canucks

Moneyline

Bet now+174

The model gives Vancouver a 43.7% chance to win, while the market implies 37.5%. That is a 6.2-point gap, and the model rates the Canucks a strong play. The best price is +174 at Novig.

Vancouver has the worst record on the slate at 2-9-1, so this is a contrarian pick. The projection still sees the game as closer than the price does.

Prices are the best we found at the time of writing and move before game time. Projections are PropFinder's game model, not guarantees. This page may contain affiliate links. Must be of legal age to wager. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, support is available: call 1-800-GAMBLER.