NHL Picks Today: Moneyline and Total Picks for Saturday, October 24

I'm covering six NHL games today. These picks come from PropFinder's game projections compared with the market, and I only write up games where the model disagrees with the books in a clear way. Most of today's calls are moneylines on home teams the model likes more than the market does, plus a few totals.

Anaheim Ducks at Philadelphia Flyers

Anaheim visits Philadelphia in a matchup of two slow starters: the Ducks are 4-6-0 and the Flyers are 3-6-3. PropFinder projects a 3.27-2.73 score in Philadelphia's favor. Lukas Dostal is expected in goal for Anaheim and Joseph Woll is expected for the Flyers.

Philadelphia Flyers moneyline (-108, Novig): PropFinder model 59.3% to win vs 53.2% implied

MONEYLINEANA@PHI· Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET

Philadelphia Flyers

Moneyline

Bet now-108

The model gives Philadelphia a 59.3% chance to win, against 53.2% implied by the market, an edge of roughly 6 points. The model rates this a strong play.

The best price is -108 at Novig, which is close to even money.

Over 5.5 (-111, Novig): PropFinder projects 6.17 goals

TOTAL GOALSANA@PHI· Oct 24, 1:00 PM ET

Over 5.5

Total Goals

Bet now-111

PropFinder projects 6.17 total goals against a line of 5.5, a gap of 0.67 goals, and puts the chance of the over at 55.5%. I like the over.

The best price is -111 at Novig. Both goalies are only expected starters, so keep an eye on the lineup news before puck drop.

Los Angeles Kings at New Jersey Devils

The Kings (2-4-2) face the Devils (6-4-0) in New Jersey. The model projects a 3.06-2.47 score for the Devils. Darcy Kuemper is the listed goalie for Los Angeles and Jake Allen is listed for New Jersey.

Under 6 (-118, BetMGM): PropFinder projects 5.7 goals

TOTAL GOALSLA@NJ· Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET

Under 6

Total Goals

Bet now-118

PropFinder projects 5.7 total goals against a market line of 6, a gap of 0.3 goals, and gives the under a 63.4% chance. The model has Los Angeles held to 2.47 goals and New Jersey at 3.06.

The best price is -118 at BetMGM, a steeper number than most of today's plays, but the model gives the under a better than 63% chance.

Nashville Predators at Pittsburgh Penguins

Nashville (3-3-3) travels to Pittsburgh (4-6-1). PropFinder projects a 3.64-3.03 win for the Penguins. Juuse Saros is expected in goal for the Predators and Arturs Silovs is expected for Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh Penguins moneyline (-127, Novig): PropFinder model 59.9% to win vs 55.6% implied

MONEYLINENSH@PIT· Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET

Pittsburgh Penguins

Moneyline

Bet now-127

The model puts Pittsburgh's win probability at 59.9%, compared with 55.6% for the market, an edge of about 4 points. The model rates this a strong play.

The best price is -127 at Novig. Both goalies are expected rather than confirmed, so check the lineup before you bet.

Buffalo Sabres at Washington Capitals

Buffalo (4-4-2) heads to Washington (5-4-0). The model projects a 3.48-2.95 score for the Capitals. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen is expected in goal for the Sabres and Charlie Lindgren is expected for Washington.

Washington Capitals moneyline (-111, Novig): PropFinder model 58.8% to win vs 53.2% implied

MONEYLINEBUF@WSH· Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET

Washington Capitals

Moneyline

Bet now-111

PropFinder gives Washington a 58.8% chance to win, while the market implies 53.2%, an edge of more than 5 points. The model rates this a strong play.

The best price is -111 at Novig, a small price to pay for that gap. Goalies are expected, not confirmed, so watch for late news.

Toronto Maple Leafs at Edmonton Oilers

Toronto (6-4-2) visits Edmonton (8-1-1). PropFinder projects a 4.32-3.27 win for the Oilers. Sergei Bobrovsky is expected in goal for the Maple Leafs and Tristan Jarry is confirmed for Edmonton.

Edmonton Oilers moneyline (-160, Novig): PropFinder model 65.7% to win vs 61.3% implied

MONEYLINETOR@EDM· Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET

Edmonton Oilers

Moneyline

Bet now-160

The model gives Edmonton a 65.7% chance to win, against 61.3% implied by the market, an edge of about 4 points. The model rates this a strong play.

The best price is -160 at Novig. That is a heavy favorite price, so the value here is the gap to the market and not a big payout.

San Jose Sharks at Boston Bruins

San Jose (6-4-1) visits Boston (8-2-1). The model projects a 3.84-2.71 score for the Bruins. Yaroslav Askarov is the listed goalie for the Sharks and Jeremy Swayman is listed for Boston.

Boston Bruins moneyline (-186, Novig): PropFinder model 68.1% to win vs 62.4% implied

MONEYLINESJ@BOS· Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET

Boston Bruins

Moneyline

Bet now-186

PropFinder gives Boston a 68.1% chance to win, while the market implies 62.4%, an edge of 5.7 points. The model rates this a strong play, and the projected score has the Bruins winning by more than a goal.

The best price is -186 at Novig. Like most heavy favorites, it asks for a big price, so size accordingly.

Prices are the best we found at the time of writing and move before game time. Projections are PropFinder's game model, not guarantees. This page may contain affiliate links. Must be of legal age to wager. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, support is available: call 1-800-GAMBLER.