Best NHL Goalscorer Props Today: Anytime Goal Picks for Monday, October 19

I went through all 4 games on the NHL slate for Monday, October 19 to find the best anytime goalscorer props on the board. The picks below are ranked by PropFinder's Goalscorer Matchups score, which blends a skater's own scoring form with how much the opponent's defense and goalie give up.

Two of the three picks come from the Toronto and San Jose game, with the third in New York. Here is how each one stacks up.

Auston Matthews to score a goal (+125, DraftKings)

ANYTIME GOALSCORERSJ@TOR· Oct 19, 7:30 PM ET

Auston Matthews

Anytime Goalscorer

Bet now+125

Auston Matthews carries a 91 form score, on a scale where 50 is league average, and the numbers back it up. He has 6 goals in 9 games on 3.00 shots per game and 1.78 individual high-danger chances per game, and his expected goals total of 3.40 shows he is finishing well above expectation at a 12.5% shooting rate. He plays about 22 minutes a night, including just over four minutes on the power play. It is still a small sample, so treat the hot finishing with some caution.

Matthews gets an 85 matchup score against San Jose, a well above average spot. The Sharks allow centers 9.88 scoring chances, 6.00 high-danger chances, 7.5 shots and 1.00 goals per game. Yaroslav Askarov is expected to start in goal with a .848 save percentage over 5 games, also a small sample. The best price is +125 at DraftKings against a median of +113 across 12 books. A top shooter facing a leaky defense at home is the case for the bet.

Will Smith to score a goal (+250, BetMGM)

ANYTIME GOALSCORERSJ@TOR· Oct 19, 7:30 PM ET

Will Smith

Anytime Goalscorer

Bet now+250

Will Smith has a 91 form score on the back of steady chance volume. He has 3 goals in 8 games, right in line with his expected goals total of 3.24, on 2.50 shots and 1.00 individual high-danger chances per game. He averages about 20 minutes of ice time, with nearly four minutes on the power play, and is shooting 13.3%. Eight games is a small sample, but the underlying chance numbers support the form score.

Smith draws an 80 matchup score in Toronto. The Maple Leafs allow right wingers 8.78 scoring chances, 4.67 high-danger chances, 8.33 shots and 1.56 goals per game. Sergei Bobrovsky is expected in goal with a .890 save percentage over 6 games. The best price is +250 at BetMGM, well above the +190 median across 12 books. A strong shooter at a long price in a soft matchup makes the payout worth the risk.

Pavel Dorofeyev to score a goal (+170, BetRivers)

ANYTIME GOALSCORERANA@NYR· Oct 19, 7:00 PM ET

Pavel Dorofeyev

Anytime Goalscorer

Bet now+170

Pavel Dorofeyev has an 89 form score even though the goals have not come yet. He has 2 goals in 10 games, well below his expected goals total of 3.80, on 3.00 shots and 1.50 individual high-danger chances per game while shooting 13.9%. He plays about 17 minutes a night, including 3.28 minutes on the power play. The gap between chances and goals suggests the finishing should catch up.

Dorofeyev gets a 76 matchup score at home against Anaheim, an above average matchup. The Ducks allow right wingers 9.14 scoring chances, 3.86 high-danger chances, 7.86 shots and 0.71 goals per game, so the volume is there even if the goal totals are modest. Lukas Dostal is expected in goal with a .881 save percentage over 6 games. The best price is +170 at BetRivers against a +160 median across 12 books. Strong chance volume against a shaky goalie is a fair reason to back the regression.

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