Best NHL Goalscorer Props Today: Anytime Goal Picks for Wednesday, October 21

I went through all 2 games on Wednesday, October 21 and ranked every skater with an anytime goal line by PropFinder's Goalscorer Matchups score. It blends a skater's own scoring form with how much the opposing defense and goalie give up, and 50 is league average on each of those scales.

It is a short slate and still early in the season, so most samples are only nine games deep. Treat the numbers as a snapshot rather than a verdict. Here are the three best anytime goal props for tonight.

Sam Reinhart to score a goal (+217, Novig)

ANYTIME GOALSCORERFLA@OTT· Oct 21, 7:30 PM ET

Sam Reinhart

Anytime Goalscorer

Opposing goalie: Linus Ullmark (Expected)

Bet now+217

Sam Reinhart of the Panthers carries a 97 form score, the best of the three, and the numbers back it up. He has 5 goals in 9 games on 3.22 shots per game and 2.00 individual high-danger chances per game. His 4.6 expected goals say the finishing is in line with the chances, not a hot streak. He plays 20:51 a night, including 5.7 minutes on the power play, which is a big part of his scoring role.

Ottawa is a good matchup for a center, with an 82 defense score and a 67 matchup score overall. They allow centers 9.00 scoring chances, 4.22 high-danger chances and 7.67 shots per game. The expected starter, Linus Ullmark, has a .945 save percentage, but that is over just 7 games. Novig has Reinhart at +217, a bit better than the +205 median across 10 books. A top shooter on the power play against a soft defense is worth that price.

Zach Benson to score a goal (+275, FanDuel)

ANYTIME GOALSCORERPHI@BUF· Oct 21, 7:30 PM ET

Zach Benson

Anytime Goalscorer

Opposing goalie: Dan Vladar (Expected)

Bet now+275

Zach Benson of the Sabres is the cold-finishing pick. He has no goals in 9 games despite 2.11 shots per game and 2.22 individual high-danger chances per game, and his 3.6 expected goals suggest the puck luck has been bad. He plays 19:52 a night with 3.68 minutes on the power play. His 85 form score reflects the chances he is generating, not the results.

The matchup is where he gets a lift: Philadelphia has a 94 defense score against left wingers, allowing 9.82 scoring chances, 4.82 high-danger chances, 8.27 shots and 1.00 goals per game. The expected starter, Dan Vladar, has a .889 save percentage over 5 games. FanDuel has Benson at +275, ahead of the +265 median across 8 books. The chances are there, and a regression to expectation would pay off at this price.

Tage Thompson to score a goal (+144, Novig)

ANYTIME GOALSCORERPHI@BUF· Oct 21, 7:30 PM ET

Tage Thompson

Anytime Goalscorer

Opposing goalie: Dan Vladar (Expected)

Bet now+144

Tage Thompson of the Sabres has the biggest volume of the three, with 5 goals in 9 games on 4.67 shots per game. His 4.5 expected goals show he is scoring about as often as the chances suggest. He logs 19:59 a night, 3.65 minutes of it on the power play, and his form score is a 92.

The matchup is only average. Philadelphia has a 50 defense score against centers, a 48 matchup score overall, which is slightly below average, so his form carries this pick. The Flyers allow centers 8.00 scoring chances, 3.09 high-danger chances and 6.82 shots per game, and Vladar's .889 save percentage over 5 games helps a little. Novig has Thompson at +144, well above the +127 median across 10 books. The shot volume keeps him live even in a fair matchup.

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