NBA Prop Picks Today: Best Player Props for Wednesday, October 21

Wednesday brings a full NBA slate, and my favorite player props today come from three games: Utah at Memphis, Minnesota at Miami and Atlanta at Orlando. Two picks come from each matchup, so a couple of these games could decide your night.

As always, the picks are ranked by PF Rating, our model's measure of how strong a prop looks, and each comes with the best price we found across the books we track. Lines move, so check the number before you bet.

Ace Bailey Over 11.5 Field Goals Att (+240, Fanatics)

FIELD GOALS ATTUTA@MEM· Oct 21, 8:00 PM ET

Ace Bailey

Over 11.5 Field Goals Att

Bet now+240

Ace Bailey tops the board with a PF Rating of 81.5 on his field goal attempts. He has cleared this number in 10 of his last 10 games, averaging 17.2 attempts over that stretch, well above the line. He is also 4 of 4 against Memphis, though that is a small sample. Memphis ranks 15th against small forwards, a middle of the pack matchup, so the case rests on his volume more than the opponent.

Isaiah Collier Over 13.5 Pts + Ast (+180, Hard Rock)

PTS + ASTUTA@MEM· Oct 21, 8:00 PM ET

Isaiah Collier

Over 13.5 Pts + Ast

Bet now+180

Isaiah Collier carries a PF Rating of 81.5 on his points plus assists, matching his Utah teammate at the top. He has gone over in 10 of his last 10 games and is averaging 22.7 points plus assists in that run, comfortably clear of the line. Against Memphis he is 5 of 6, a small sample that still points the same way. Memphis ranks 15th against point guards, a neutral matchup.

Bobby Portis Over 10.5 Points (-111, betJACK)

POINTSMIN@MIA· Oct 21, 7:30 PM ET

Bobby Portis

Over 10.5 Points

Bet now-111

Bobby Portis earns a PF Rating of 81 on his points. He has topped this mark in 10 of his last 10 games, averaging 15.8 points over that span, giving him real room above the line. He is 5 of 6 against Minnesota, a small sample. Minnesota ranks 15th against power forwards, so the matchup is neither a help nor a hurdle, and this is close to an even money price.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Over 1.5 Two Points Att (-175, Betano)

TWO POINTS ATTMIN@MIA· Oct 21, 7:30 PM ET

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Over 1.5 Two Points Att

Bet now-175

Tim Hardaway Jr. has a PF Rating of 81 on his two point attempts, a low line he has cleared in 10 of his last 10 games. His recent average is 3.1 attempts, and he is 16 of 18 against Minnesota, the deepest head to head sample on the board. Minnesota ranks 15th against shooting guards. The price is steep, so this one fits better as a parlay piece than a standalone bet.

Wendell Carter Jr. Over 0.5 Blocks (+100, Betano)

BLOCKSATL@ORL· Oct 21, 7:00 PM ET

Wendell Carter Jr.

Over 0.5 Blocks

Bet now+100

Wendell Carter Jr. posts a PF Rating of 79.5 on his blocks. He has recorded at least one block in 10 of his last 10 games, averaging 1.7 over that stretch. Against Atlanta he is only 6 of 11, so the head to head record is less convincing than his recent form. Atlanta ranks 15th against centers, a neutral matchup, and the even money price is fair for a one block line.

Paolo Banchero Over 14.5 Field Goals Att (-230, Fanatics)

FIELD GOALS ATTATL@ORL· Oct 21, 7:00 PM ET

Paolo Banchero

Over 14.5 Field Goals Att

Bet now-230

Paolo Banchero rounds out the card with a PF Rating of 79.5 on his field goal attempts. He has gone over in 10 of his last 10 games and is averaging 20.4 attempts in that run, far above the line. He is 7 of 11 against Atlanta. Atlanta ranks 15th against power forwards. The price is the steepest of these six, which reflects how often he has cleared this number.

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