Best NHL Goalscorer Props Today: Anytime Goal Picks for Wednesday, October 28

I went through all 4 games on Wednesday, October 28, and this slate is dominated by Edmonton. The three best anytime goal props below are ranked by PropFinder's Goalscorer Matchups score, which blends a skater's own scoring form with how much the opposing defense and goalie give up.

Scores run from 0 to 100, and 50 is league average. A higher form score means a bigger personal goal threat, and a higher matchup score means a softer defense and goalie to shoot against.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins to score a goal (+251, Novig)

ANYTIME GOALSCORERCGY@EDM· Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Anytime Goalscorer

Opposing goalie: Devin Cooley (Expected)

Bet now+251

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins carries a 96 form score, though the sample is small: one goal in three games this season. He is getting plenty of looks, with 3.33 shots and 3.00 high-danger chances per game, and his 1.64 expected goals is a bit ahead of that single goal. He plays 20:46 a night, including 4:08 on the power play, which is where much of his scoring threat comes from.

Calgary gives up 8.09 scoring chances, 4.27 high-danger chances, 7.18 shots and 1.09 goals per game to centers, good for a 73 matchup score. Devin Cooley is expected in net for the Flames with a .914 save percentage over 6 games, another small sample. Nugent-Hopkins is +251 at Novig, versus a median of +220 across 12 books. A soft matchup for centers and a plus price make this an appealing look.

Connor McDavid to score a goal (+115, BetMGM)

ANYTIME GOALSCORERCGY@EDM· Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET

Connor McDavid

Anytime Goalscorer

Opposing goalie: Devin Cooley (Expected)

Bet now+115

Connor McDavid has 8 goals in 12 games with a 95 form score, well above his 4.23 expected goals, so some regression is possible. He still produces: 2.50 shots and 1.33 high-danger chances per game, a 15.4% shooting percentage, 23:53 of ice time and 3:44 on the power play per night. Few players see the puck more than he does in an Edmonton lineup that creates chances in volume.

He shares the same 73 matchup score as Nugent-Hopkins. Calgary allows centers 8.09 chances, 4.27 high-danger chances and 1.09 goals per game, and Devin Cooley, expected in goal, has a .914 save percentage over 6 games. McDavid's best price is +115 at BetMGM, well above the median of -103 across 9 books. At a number that long for a player scoring at this rate, the case rests on the matchup and his volume.

Leon Draisaitl to score a goal (-115, theScore)

ANYTIME GOALSCORERCGY@EDM· Oct 28, 8:30 PM ET

Leon Draisaitl

Anytime Goalscorer

Opposing goalie: Devin Cooley (Expected)

Bet now-115

Leon Draisaitl has a 97 form score and 12 goals in 12 games, nearly double his 6.44 expected goals, on a 17.6% shooting percentage. The volume is real too, with 3.75 shots and 1.33 high-danger chances per game. He averages 21:56 of ice time with 3:47 on the power play, and that combination keeps him near the top of the goal-scoring conversation every night.

His matchup score is 65, still above average. Calgary gives up 8.27 chances, 3.82 high-danger chances, 7.55 shots and 0.91 goals per game to right wingers, and Devin Cooley is expected in goal with a .914 save percentage over 6 games. Draisaitl is -115 at theScore, a touch better than the -120 median across 12 books. It is the shortest price of the three, but his form is the strongest on the board.

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