NBA Prop Picks Today: Best Player Props for Saturday, November 7

Saturday brings a full night of NBA action, and I went through the board looking for the player props our model likes best. The six picks below come from three evening games: Washington at Oklahoma City, Orlando at Golden State, and Houston at Phoenix. They are listed in order of PF Rating, PropFinder's score for each prop.

Every play on tonight's card is an under, so this is a night for leaning on quiet stat lines rather than chasing big ones. The prices quoted are the best I found across the books we track at the time of writing, and lines move, so check the number before you bet.

AJ Dybantsa Under 2.5 Turnovers (-217, Betsafe)

TURNOVERSWAS@OKC· Nov 7, 8:00 PM ET

AJ Dybantsa

Under 2.5 Turnovers

Bet now-217

AJ Dybantsa's under 2.5 turnovers tops the card with a PF Rating of 96.5. The Washington forward has stayed under this number in 5 of the last 5 games, which is also the full season sample, so treat it as a small one. The recent average sits at 1.4 turnovers, comfortably below the line. Oklahoma City ranks 23rd of 30 against small forwards in our matchup data, a setup that grades out in favor of the under. The best price is -217 at Betsafe.

Draymond Green Under 5.5 Points (-150, Borgata)

POINTSORL@GSW· Nov 7, 8:30 PM ET

Draymond Green

Under 5.5 Points

Bet now-150

Draymond Green's under 5.5 points carries a PF Rating of 92.6. The Golden State big has gone under in 8 of the last 10 games and in all 7 games this season, with a recent average of 4.0 points. The head-to-head history is weaker, with the under hitting in just 2 of 5 games against Orlando, which is worth keeping in mind. Orlando ranks 28th of 30 against centers, a matchup that favors the under. Green's under is -150 at Borgata.

Amen Thompson Under 0.5 Blocks (-227, Betano)

BLOCKSHOU@PHX· Nov 7, 9:00 PM ET

Amen Thompson

Under 0.5 Blocks

Bet now-227

Amen Thompson's under 0.5 blocks earns a PF Rating of 92. The Houston guard has stayed under in 8 of the last 10 games and 8 of 9 this season, with a recent average of 0.5 blocks. Against Phoenix the record is a coin flip at 5 of 10, but Phoenix ranks 29th of 30 against shooting guards, which grades out well for the under. Thompson's under is -227 at Betano, a steep price that reflects how often it has landed lately.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 2.5 Blocks + Steals (-182, Betano)

BLOCKS + STEALSWAS@OKC· Nov 7, 8:00 PM ET

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Under 2.5 Blocks + Steals

Bet now-182

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's under 2.5 blocks plus steals comes in with a PF Rating of 91. The Oklahoma City guard has gone under in 6 of the last 10 games and 6 of 9 this season, and the under is 4 of 6 against Washington. The recent average of 2.4 sits just below the line, so this one has less cushion than the others. Washington ranks 29th of 30 against point guards, a matchup that favors the under. The best price is -182 at Betano.

Collin Gillespie Under 0.5 Free Throws Made (-182, Betsafe)

FREE THROWS MADEHOU@PHX· Nov 7, 9:00 PM ET

Collin Gillespie

Under 0.5 Free Throws Made

Bet now-182

Collin Gillespie's under 0.5 free throws made has a PF Rating of 90.5. The Phoenix guard has stayed under in 9 of the last 10 games and 6 of 7 this season, and the under is 7 of 10 against Houston. The recent average is 0.1 made free throws, so trips to the line have been rare. Houston ranks 24th of 30 against point guards, which leans toward the under. Gillespie's under is -182 at Betsafe.

Wendell Carter Jr. Under 0.5 Double Double (-159, Betsafe)

DOUBLE DOUBLEORL@GSW· Nov 7, 8:30 PM ET

Wendell Carter Jr.

Under 0.5 Double Double

Bet now-159

Wendell Carter Jr.'s under 0.5 double doubles rounds out the card with a PF Rating of 89.6. The Orlando center has missed a double double in 9 of the last 10 games and 7 of 8 this season, and the under is 5 of 6 against Golden State. The recent average of 0.1 shows how rare the double double has been lately. Golden State ranks 29th of 30 against centers, a matchup that favors the under. Carter's under is -159 at Betsafe.

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