NBA Prop Picks Today: Best Player Props for Sunday, November 8

Sunday's NBA card is a full evening of basketball, and I'm pulling today's player props from five games: the Lakers at the Pistons, the Jazz at the Timberwolves, the Nets at the Mavericks, the Celtics at the Bucks, and the Pelicans at the Clippers to close the night in Los Angeles.

As always, the picks are ranked by PF Rating, our measure of how strongly the numbers line up behind a prop. Unders lead the way tonight, with a couple of overs mixed in where the recent volume and the matchup point in the same direction.

Rui Hachimura Over 5.5 Three Points Att (-115, Fanatics)

THREE POINTS ATTNOP@LAC· Nov 8, 9:00 PM ET

Rui Hachimura

Over 5.5 Three Points Att

Bet now-115

Rui Hachimura tops the board with a PF Rating of 93.2 on his three-point attempts over 5.5. The volume has been steady: Hachimura has cleared this line in 9 of his last 10 games and in 5 of 6 this season, averaging 6.7 attempts over that recent stretch. The matchup helps too, as New Orleans ranks 1st of 30 in what it allows to power forwards, the most generous mark in the league at the position.

The one caution is his history against the Pelicans, as he has gone over this number in just 1 of 8 past meetings. I'm giving more weight to how he is being used right now, with the recent volume sitting comfortably above the line. The best price across the books we track is -115 at Fanatics, a fair cost for a prop backed by this kind of form.

Caleb Martin Under 2.5 Assists (-161, Betano)

ASSISTSBKN@DAL· Nov 8, 7:30 PM ET

Caleb Martin

Under 2.5 Assists

Bet now-161

Caleb Martin carries a PF Rating of 93 on his assists under 2.5, and the recent numbers are about as clean as they get. He has stayed under in 10 of his last 10 games, averaging just 0.5 assists in that stretch, and he is 5 of 5 on the under this season. Against Brooklyn he has stayed under in 5 of 8 meetings.

The matchup is neutral rather than a boost, with the Nets sitting 18th of 30 against shooting guards, so this one rests on role more than opponent. The season sample is small at five games, but his playmaking load has been minimal across the longer run as well. The best price is -161 at Betano.

John Collins Under 1.5 Assists (-238, Betano)

ASSISTSLAL@DET· Nov 8, 6:00 PM ET

John Collins

Under 1.5 Assists

Bet now-238

John Collins comes in with a PF Rating of 92.6 on his assists under 1.5 against the Lakers. Collins has stayed under this line in 10 of his last 10 games and in 8 of 8 this season, averaging 0.4 assists over his recent run. He has also stayed under in 7 of 11 meetings with Los Angeles.

The matchup lines up with the under, as the Lakers rank 29th of 30 against power forwards, one of the stingier draws at the position. The price is the drawback: the best number is -238 at Betano, so this works better as a piece of a card than as a standalone value play.

LaMelo Ball Under 11.5 Rebound Assists (-102, Betano)

REBOUND ASSISTSUTA@MIN· Nov 8, 7:00 PM ET

LaMelo Ball

Under 11.5 Rebound Assists

Bet now-102

LaMelo Ball has a PF Rating of 92.3 on his rebounds plus assists under 11.5 as Minnesota hosts Utah. He has stayed under this number in 9 of his last 10 games, which is also his mark for the season, and his recent average of 9.4 sits a couple of combined rebounds and assists below the line.

Utah ranks 27th of 30 against point guards, among the tougher matchups at the position, which adds support to the under. He has stayed under in 1 of 2 meetings with the Jazz, too small a sample to lean on either way. At -102 with Betano, this is the closest thing to an even-money price among today's picks.

Brayden Burries Under 1.5 Three Pointers (-182, Caesars)

THREE POINTERSBOS@MIL· Nov 8, 8:00 PM ET

Brayden Burries

Under 1.5 Three Pointers

Bet now-182

Brayden Burries rounds out the unders with a PF Rating of 91 on three-pointers made under 1.5. He has stayed under in 8 of his last 9 games, the same 8 of 9 mark he owns for the season, and he is averaging 0.8 made threes over that stretch. He also stayed under in his lone meeting with Boston.

The Celtics rank 17th of 30 against point guards, a middle of the pack draw that neither helps nor hurts much. This is still an early-season sample of nine games, so weigh it accordingly, but the gap between his recent average and the line gives the under some margin. The best price across the books we track is -182 at Caesars.

Jeremiah Fears Over 6.5 Rebound Assists (-200, Borgata)

REBOUND ASSISTSNOP@LAC· Nov 8, 9:00 PM ET

Jeremiah Fears

Over 6.5 Rebound Assists

Bet now-200

Jeremiah Fears closes the card with a PF Rating of 90.9 on his rebounds plus assists over 6.5 in the late game against the Clippers. He has cleared this line in 8 of his last 10 games and in 7 of 9 this season, with a recent average of 9.7 that sits more than three above the number.

The matchup is the best on the board for him, as the Clippers rank 1st of 30 in what they allow to shooting guards. He is 2 of 4 against Los Angeles, so the head-to-head history is a coin flip. The best price is -200 at Borgata, a steep cost but one the recent production supports.

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