NBA Prop Picks Today: Best Player Props for Friday, November 6

Friday brings a busy NBA night, and the strongest props on my board cluster in three games. Philadelphia visits Cleveland, Boston heads to Charlotte, and Portland closes the night against the Lakers in Los Angeles. Each game gives us two picks, so there are a couple of ways to build around a single matchup if you like a particular game script.

As always, the picks below are ranked by PF Rating, our model's read on how strong each prop looks. It is early in the season, so I lean on recent form and put a little less weight on season totals that are still built on a handful of games.

VJ Edgecombe Over 8.5 Field Goals Att (-220, Fanatics)

FIELD GOALS ATTPHI@CLE· Nov 6, 7:30 PM ET

VJ Edgecombe

Over 8.5 Field Goals Att

Bet now-220

VJ Edgecombe tops the board with a PF Rating of 94.7 on his shot attempts. Edgecombe has cleared this number in 10 of his last 10 games and in 8 of 8 this season, averaging 11.3 attempts over that recent stretch, well above the line. Against Cleveland he has gone over in 3 of his last 4 meetings.

The matchup helps too. Cleveland ranks 1st of 30 in what it allows to shooting guards in this category, the most generous mark in the league. The price is steep, so this is about consistency rather than value, but the volume has been there every night and nothing in this matchup suggests it should dry up.

Hugo González Under 3.5 Rebound Assists (-128, Betano)

REBOUND ASSISTSBOS@CHA· Nov 6, 7:00 PM ET

Hugo González

Under 3.5 Rebound Assists

Bet now-128

Hugo González carries a PF Rating of 93.5 on the under. González has stayed under this line in 9 of his last 10 games and in 7 of 8 this season, averaging 2.5 over his last 10, a full point below the number. That is a steady pattern, and the season sample, while still small, tells the same story.

Charlotte ranks 22nd of 30 in what it allows to shooting guards here, one of the stingier marks, which supports the under. The head to head sample is tiny at 1 of 2, so I would not read much into it either way. The price is reasonable for a prop with this kind of recent track record.

Walker Kessler Over 9.5 Points (-230, Hard Rock)

POINTSPOR@LAL· Nov 6, 10:00 PM ET

Walker Kessler

Over 9.5 Points

Bet now-230

Walker Kessler comes in with a PF Rating of 93.1 on his scoring. Kessler has topped 9.5 points in 8 of his last 10 games and in 8 of 9 this season, averaging 13.4 points over his last 10. He has also cleared this line in 5 of 6 games against Portland, a solid head to head record.

Portland ranks 3rd of 30 in points allowed to centers, one of the friendliest matchups for big men on the schedule. The juice is heavy on this one, so it fits better as a steady leg than a standalone value play, but the recent average sits comfortably above the line and the matchup points the same way.

Jrue Holiday Over 1.5 Three Pointers (-164, betJACK)

THREE POINTERSPOR@LAL· Nov 6, 10:00 PM ET

Jrue Holiday

Over 1.5 Three Pointers

Bet now-164

Jrue Holiday has a PF Rating of 92.6 on his threes. Holiday has hit at least two in 8 of his last 10 games and in 6 of 7 this season, averaging 2.6 made threes over that recent stretch. The volume and the touch have both been there for him early in the season, and the line has not caught up.

The Lakers rank 4th of 30 in what they allow to point guards from deep, a matchup that favors the over. The one caution is history: he has cleared this line in just 3 of 8 games against Los Angeles, so the case rests on current form and the matchup rather than past meetings.

Jayson Tatum Under 2.5 Three Pointers (-125, Betano)

THREE POINTERSBOS@CHA· Nov 6, 7:00 PM ET

Jayson Tatum

Under 2.5 Three Pointers

Bet now-125

Jayson Tatum checks in with a PF Rating of 92 on the under for his threes. Tatum has stayed under 2.5 in 7 of his last 10 games and in 6 of 7 this season, averaging 2.2 made threes over his last 10. The line asks for three makes, and he has been landing just short of that mark more often than not.

Charlotte ranks 23rd of 30 in threes allowed to power forwards, one of the tougher matchups for this market. The counterpoint is his history against the Hornets, where the under has landed in only 1 of 7 meetings. Recent form and the matchup carry this pick, so treat it as a lean on the current trend.

Tyrese Maxey Over 5.5 Free Throws Att (-125, Betano)

FREE THROWS ATTPHI@CLE· Nov 6, 7:30 PM ET

Tyrese Maxey

Over 5.5 Free Throws Att

Bet now-125

Tyrese Maxey rounds out the card with a PF Rating of 91.2 on his trips to the line. Maxey has cleared 5.5 free throw attempts in 9 of his last 10 games and in 8 of 9 this season, averaging 7.1 attempts over his last 10. That kind of steady volume at the line is exactly what this market rewards.

Cleveland ranks 6th of 30 in what it allows to point guards in this category, another matchup that leans toward the over. His record against the Cavaliers is an even 5 of 10, so the recent form is doing most of the work here. The price is fair for a prop that has hit this consistently lately.

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