MLB Picks Today: Moneyline and Total Picks for Saturday, October 24

I'm covering one MLB game today, a playoff slate with a single matchup. The pick comes from PropFinder's game projections compared with the market, and I only write up games where the model disagrees with the books in a clear way. The model is 1323-1140 all-time.

Tampa Bay Rays at Milwaukee Brewers

The Rays visit the Brewers tonight. PropFinder projects Tampa Bay for 3.99 runs and Milwaukee for 4.67. Drew Rasmussen (RHP) starts for Tampa Bay and Logan Henderson (RHP) goes for Milwaukee.

Over 6.5 (-102, Novig): PropFinder projects 8.66 runs

TOTAL RUNSTB@MIL· Oct 24, 8:00 PM ET

Over 6.5

Total Runs

Bet now-102

The model projects 8.66 total runs in this game, while the market sits at 6.5. That is a gap of 2.16 runs, which is a big disagreement between the projection and the number on the board, so I'm on the over.

The best price I found is -102 at Novig, essentially even money. With both teams projected to score more than the market expects, the books are pricing a much lower scoring game than the model sees. As always, prices move, so check the line before you bet.

Prices are the best we found at the time of writing and move before game time. Projections are PropFinder's game model, not guarantees. This page may contain affiliate links. Must be of legal age to wager. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, support is available: call 1-800-GAMBLER.