This is an archived edition. For the latest picks see NHL Picks Today, updated every game day.
NHL Picks Today: Moneyline and Total Picks for Friday, November 6
Every prop on today's slate, ranked live: NHL Player Props Today
The picks
2 picks
Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Odds may have moved since publishing.
Two NHL games on Friday's slate stand out to me, and both picks are moneylines. They come from PropFinder's game projections compared with the market, and I only back a side when the model disagrees with the price clearly.
The model likes a home team in each spot: a lean on Calgary and a strong play on Minnesota. Prices move, so check the number before you bet.
Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames
Anaheim visits Calgary in a matchup of two teams hovering near .500. The Ducks are 8-7-1 and the Flames are 7-8-1. The model projects a 3.33 to 2.96 Calgary win. Lukas Dostal is expected to start in goal for Anaheim, and Dustin Wolf is expected to start for Calgary.
Calgary Flames moneyline (-122, Novig): PropFinder model 56.3% to win vs 54.1% implied
Calgary Flames
Moneyline
The model gives Calgary a 56.3% chance to win, against 54.1% implied by the market once the vig is removed. That is a 2.2 point edge, and the model rates it a lean rather than a strong play.
The best price is -122 at Novig. With a modest edge, this is a smaller-confidence spot, and I would not pay much worse than that number.
San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild
San Jose heads to Minnesota with the Sharks at 7-9-1 and the Wild at 11-3-3. The model projects a 3.97 to 2.41 Minnesota win. Yaroslav Askarov is listed in goal for San Jose and Jesper Wallstedt for Minnesota, though neither start carries a confirmation yet.
Minnesota Wild moneyline (-239, Novig): PropFinder model 74.7% to win vs 69.2% implied
Minnesota Wild
Moneyline
The model puts Minnesota's win probability at 74.7%, compared with 69.2% from the market with the vig removed. That is a 5.5 point edge, and the model rates it a strong play.
The best price is -239 at Novig. It is a heavy favorite price, so the payout is small, but the gap between the model and the market is the widest on the board. Confirm the goalies before betting.
Prices are the best we found at the time of writing and move before game time. Projections are PropFinder's game model, not guarantees. This page may contain affiliate links. Must be of legal age to wager. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, support is available: call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Odds and lines were accurate at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Must be 21+ and physically located in a jurisdiction where wagering is legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Jake Casso
Jake is a Chicago native and lifelong sports enthusiast who brings energy, creativity, and expertise to the PropFinder team. He plays a key role in developing educational livestreams and producing YouTube content that helps sports bettors better understand betting markets, strategies, and data-driven insights.
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