This is an archived edition. For the latest picks see NHL Picks Today, updated every game day.
NHL Picks Today: Moneyline and Total Picks for Friday, October 16
Every prop on today's slate, ranked live: NHL Player Props Today
The picks
3 picks
Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Odds may have moved since publishing.
Two NHL games tonight have picks from PropFinder's game projections. I compare the model's numbers with the market and only write up a game where the model disagrees clearly. Both games lean toward the over, and one also has a moneyline play.
Pittsburgh Penguins at Colorado Avalanche
Pittsburgh (3-3-1) visits Colorado (4-2-1). The model projects a 3.84 to 2.87 Avalanche win, with Colorado a 65.6% home favorite. Arturs Silovs is confirmed in goal for the Penguins and Mackenzie Blackwood for the Avalanche.
Over 6.5 (-122, Novig): PropFinder projects 6.86 goals
Over 6.5
Total Goals
The model projects 6.86 total goals against a market line of 6.5, a gap of 0.36 goals. It gives the over a 55.2% probability.
This is the lighter of tonight's two total plays. The best price is -122 at Novig. Prices move, so check the number before you bet.
Boston Bruins at Anaheim Ducks
Boston (5-2-0) visits Anaheim (4-2-0). The model projects a 3.4 to 3.32 Ducks edge, close to a coin flip. Jeremy Swayman is confirmed in goal for the Bruins and Lukas Dostal for the Ducks.
Anaheim Ducks moneyline (-102, Novig): PropFinder model 51.4% to win vs 48.9% implied
Anaheim Ducks
Moneyline
The model gives Anaheim a 51.4% win probability against a no-vig market probability of 48.9%, an edge of 2.6 points. The model rates it a strong play, though the edge is small.
The best price is -102 at Novig, so you are paying almost nothing extra to back the home side.
Over 6.5 (-100, Novig): PropFinder projects 6.88 goals
Over 6.5
Total Goals
The model projects 6.88 total goals, above the 6.5 line posted at the books. The best price is -100 at Novig.
That is the bigger disagreement with the market in this game, and both goalies being confirmed makes the projection easier to trust. Prices can shift before puck drop.
Prices are the best we found at the time of writing and move before game time. Projections are PropFinder's game model, not guarantees. This page may contain affiliate links. Must be of legal age to wager. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, support is available: call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Odds and lines were accurate at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Must be 21+ and physically located in a jurisdiction where wagering is legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Jake Casso
Jake is a Chicago native and lifelong sports enthusiast who brings energy, creativity, and expertise to the PropFinder team. He plays a key role in developing educational livestreams and producing YouTube content that helps sports bettors better understand betting markets, strategies, and data-driven insights.
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