This is an archived edition. For the latest picks see MLB Picks Today, updated every game day.
MLB Picks Today: Moneyline and Total Picks for Friday, October 16
Every prop on today's slate, ranked live: MLB Player Props Today
Postseason coverage, game by game: MLB Playoff Predictions
The picks
1 pick
Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Odds may have moved since publishing.
Tonight's MLB postseason slate has two games, and PropFinder's game projections found one worth writing up. I compare the model's projections with the market and only show a pick where the two clearly disagree. The model is 1319-1140 all-time.
That leaves one total tonight, and it is a big gap.
Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay visits Cleveland tonight. The model projects the Rays to score 4.3 runs and the Guardians 3.49. Nick Martinez (RHP) starts for Tampa Bay and Shawn Armstrong (RHP) for Cleveland, with the model leaning slightly toward Tampa Bay on the road.
Over 6.5 (+104, Novig): PropFinder projects 7.79 runs
Over 6.5
Total Runs
The model projects 7.79 total runs against a market line of 6.5, a gap of 1.29 runs. That gap is why the model likes the over.
The best price is Over 6.5 at +104 at Novig. Prices move, so check the number before you bet.
Prices are the best we found at the time of writing and move before game time. Projections are PropFinder's game model, not guarantees. This page may contain affiliate links. Must be of legal age to wager. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, support is available: call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Odds and lines were accurate at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Must be 21+ and physically located in a jurisdiction where wagering is legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Jake Casso
Jake is a Chicago native and lifelong sports enthusiast who brings energy, creativity, and expertise to the PropFinder team. He plays a key role in developing educational livestreams and producing YouTube content that helps sports bettors better understand betting markets, strategies, and data-driven insights.
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