Best MLB Home Run Props Today HR Picks for Friday, June 19
I went through all 14 games on Friday, June 19 to find the best home run matchups so you don't have to. Using PropFinder's data tools, I’ve identified a combination of vulnerable pitchers, strong hitter splits, favorable weather, and ballpark factors. Below are my top three MLB home run props and best home run picks for today's slate.
P.S. - If I say take a player for a double... take them for a homer (Witt sold my bag). Anyway, onto the top three home runs today.
Pick 1: Pete Crow-Armstrong to hit a HR --- (+365, DraftKings)
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Over 0.5 Player Home Runs
Matchup vs. Kevin Gausman (Blue Jays), Wrigley Field, 2:20PM ET
PCA has 4 homers in his last five games. In his last 25 PA, he is batting .522, with 5 hits over 350 feet, and has a 38.9% pull barrel. In his last 15 BBE, he has a 53% fly ball rate, 80% Hard-Hit rate, and a 53% pull rate. Putting all of this together with wind blowing out, PCA should be able to have a few chances to go yard this afternoon.
Pick 2: Ben Rice to hit a HR --- (+300, Hard Rock Bet)
Ben Rice
Over 0.5 Player Home Runs
Matchup vs. Rhett Lowder (Reds), Yankee Stadium, 7:05PM ET
Yes, I'm running it back. We got hooked today with Ben hitting a ball 409 feet to dead center field, which would've been a home run in 15/30 parks. Ben has another great matchup tonight against Lowder, who throws the Four-Seam/Change 50% of the time, two pitches Ben absolutely smokes. If he can hit it in the air, and pull it tonight, it will be gone.
Pick 3: Max Muncy to hit a HR --- (+324, DraftKings)
Max Muncy
Over 0.5 Player Home Runs
Matchup vs. Trey Gibson (Orioles), Dodger Stadium, 8:10PM ET
Through his first 5 starts of his career, Gibson has thrown a combination of the Curveball, Cutter, and Four-Seamer. Muncy has a 20%+ season barrel on all of these pitches, along with a 15.3% pull barrel. His season stats are impressive, but they don't even compare to his last 25 PA. Check out the second screenshot to see those impressive stats.
HR Prop Parlay
.png)
Combining all three home run props: +7353 at DraftKings. High variance by nature — stake accordingly.
Odds are subject to change.
Yesterday's Results: 0-3 (-3.17U)
Each prop is played to WIN 1 Unit (not including original stake)
Total Results: 8-29-2 (-3.3U)
Total Wagered Today: PCA (0.82U), Rice (1.07U), Muncy (0.93U)
Results don't include any combination of picks. I'm just tracking straight bets.
Affiliate disclosure: This page may contain affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you.
Must be of legal age in your jurisdiction. Please gamble responsibly. If gambling is a problem, support is available — 1-800-GAMBLER.
Odds and lines were accurate at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Must be 21+ and physically located in a jurisdiction where wagering is legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Jake Casso
Jake is a Chicago native and lifelong sports enthusiast who brings energy, creativity, and expertise to the PropFinder team. He plays a key role in developing educational livestreams and producing YouTube content that helps sports bettors better understand betting markets, strategies, and data-driven insights.
Related reading
Best MLB Home Run Props Today HR Picks for Thursday, June 18
Best MLB Home Run Props Today HR Picks for Thursday, June 18
Best MLB Home Run Props Today HR Picks for Wednesday, June 17
Best MLB Home Run Props Today HR Picks for Wednesday, June 17
Best MLB Home Run Props Today HR Picks for Tuesday, June 16
Best MLB Home Run Props Today HR Picks for Tuesday, June 16
Find profitable props faster
PropFinder has all the tools to help you make smarter bets and find real edges with data-driven insights.