Best MLB Home Run Props Today HR Picks for Friday, June 26
I went through all 15 games on Friday, June 26 to find the best home run matchups so you don't have to. Using PropFinder's data tools, I’ve identified a combination of vulnerable pitchers, strong hitter splits, favorable weather, and ballpark factors. Below are my top three MLB home run props and best home run picks for today's slate.
Pick 1: Jake Burger to hit a HR --- (+425, Hard Rock Bet)
TEX@
TOR· Jun 26, 7:07 PM ET
Jake Burger
Over 0.5 Player Home Runs
Matchup vs. Patrick Corbin (Toronto Blue Jays), Rogers Centre, 7:07PM ET
Burger tops off today's list due to his matchup and season long hitting history vs. left-handed pitching. Corbin being on the bump improves Burger's chances of going yard. He has given up 4 home runs in the past 5 starts, all vs. right-handed batters. Burger has a 20% L15 barrel rate, as well as 4 home runs in his past 25 BBE.
Pick 2: T.J. Rumfield to hit a HR --- (+700, theScore Bet)
COL@
MIN· Jun 26, 8:10 PM ET
T.J. Rumfield
Over 0.5 Player Home Runs
Matchup vs. Taj Bradley (Twins), Target Field, 8:10PM ET
Rumfield is second on my list for today due to his matchup against Bradley. He has been a great bat for a lackluster Rockies offense. Over the season, he has 10 hits over 350 feet on Bradley's pitch mix, along with a 10% barrel. He is much better vs. RHP than LHP, which makes sense due to Rumfield being a left-handed batter. Rumfield has 12 home runs on the season, 11 of which have come vs. RHP. If he can pull a fly ball off Bradley, there's a good chance it leaves the yard.
Pick 3: Owen Caissie to hit a HR --- (+650, Fanatics)
MIA@
STL· Jun 26, 8:15 PM ET
Owen Caissie
Over 0.5 Player Home Runs
Matchup vs. Michael McGreevy (Cardinals), Busch Stadium, 8:15PM ET
Caissie rounds out today's value list due to McGreevy's past two seasons of struggle vs. left-handed hitters. He has given up 24 home runs over the past two seasons, with 17 coming against left-handed batters. Over his last 25 plate appearances, Caissie has a 26.7% barrel along with 4 hits over 350 feet and a fly ball rate north of 50%.
HR Prop Parlay
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Odds and lines were accurate at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Must be 21+ and physically located in a jurisdiction where wagering is legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Jake Casso
Jake is a Chicago native and lifelong sports enthusiast who brings energy, creativity, and expertise to the PropFinder team. He plays a key role in developing educational livestreams and producing YouTube content that helps sports bettors better understand betting markets, strategies, and data-driven insights.
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