Best MLB Home Run Props Today HR Picks for Saturday, June 27

I went through all 15 games on Saturday, June 27th to find the best home run matchups so you don't have to. Using PropFinder's data tools, I’ve identified a combination of vulnerable pitchers, strong hitter splits, favorable weather, and ballpark factors. Below are my top three MLB home run props and best home run picks for today's slate.

Pick 1: Max Muncy to hit a HR --- (+360, Fanatics)

PLAYER HOME RUNSLAD@SD· Jun 27, 8:40 PM ET

Max Muncy

Over 0.5 Player Home Runs

Bet now+360

Matchup vs. Randy Vasquez (Padres), Petco Park, 8:40PM ET

Muncy tops off today's list due to his incredible matchup vs Padres' RHP Randy Vasquez. More often than not, Vasquez either throws a Four-Seamer or a Cutter; both are pitches that Muncy absolutely obliterates. On the season against Vasquez's top two pitches, Muncy has a 20%+ barrel rate, a near perfect launch angle, a Hard-Hit average exit velocity, nine home runs, and a 10%+ pull barrel rate.

Pick 2: Colson Montgomery to hit a HR --- (+340, Fanatics)

PLAYER HOME RUNSKC@CWS· Jun 27, 4:10 PM ET

Colson Montgomery

Over 0.5 Player Home Runs

Bet now+340

Matchup vs. Michael Wacha (Royals), Rate Field, 4:10PM ET

As a White Sox fan, I'm happy to include Colson on today's list, but why did I pick him for today's slate? Wacha has given up four home runs to left-handed batters on his top two pitches, consisting of the Four-Seam/Change-Up combination, which he throws ~60% of the time. Montgomery on the year has crushed this mix, hitting 8 home runs (4 on each pitch). Colson also has a 40%+ fly ball rate, a high pull air rate, and a great average launch angle on all pitches Wacha has to offer.

Pick 3: Dominic Canzone to hit a HR --- (+525, Hard Rock Bet)

PLAYER HOME RUNSSEA@CLE· Jun 27, 7:10 PM ET

Dominic Canzone

Over 0.5 Player Home Runs

Bet now+525

Matchup vs. Slade Cecconi (Guardians), Progressive Field, 7:10PM ET

Canzone rounds out today's list, taking hold of my third spot. Similar to my other picks, Canzone has a great pitch-mix matchup. Cecconi will be throwing the Cutter, Four-Seamer, and Sinker - all pitches that Canzone has crushed this season and recently especially. Over his last 25 BBE, Canzone has 4 home runs, a 20% barrel rate, 12% pull barrel rate, 60% Hard-Hit rate, and a 277-foot average hit distance. I could go on and on about his stats, or you can check out the screenshot below. I've also attached the past month of Canzone's fly ball hits in play against the Four-Seamer or Cutter. TLDR; 50% of them were home runs.

HR Prop Parlay

Combining all three home run props: +11189 at Hard Rock Bet. High variance by nature — stake accordingly.
Odds are subject to change.

Yesterday's Results: 0-3 (-1.67U)
Each prop is played to WIN 1 Unit (not including original stake)
Total Results: 10-47-2 (-10.33U)
Total Wagered Today: Muncy(0.83U), C. Montgomery (0.92U), Canzone (0.57U)
Results don't include any combination of picks. I'm just tracking straight bets.  

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