Best MLB Home Run Props Today HR Picks for Sunday, June 28

I went through all 15 games on Sunday, June 28th to find the best home run matchups so you don't have to. Using PropFinder's data tools, I’ve identified a combination of vulnerable pitchers, strong hitter splits, favorable weather, and ballpark factors. Below are my top three MLB home run props and best home run picks for today's slate.

Pick 1: Junior Caminero to hit a HR --- (+265, Fanatics)

PLAYER HOME RUNSARI@TB· Jun 28, 1:40 PM ET

Junior Caminero

Over 0.5 Player Home Runs

Bet now+265

Matchup vs. Merrill Kelly (Diamondbacks), Tropicana Field, 1:40PM ET

Junior Caminero tops off today's list, mainly due to hitting six home runs in his past five games. On top of that, he's showcasing a 41.7% barrel rate, including a 33.3% pull barrel rate, along with a 67% Hard-Hit rate over his last 15 PA vs. RHP. JCam has been a machine recently, and there's no reason to think his home run production will cease anytime soon.

Pick 2: Gunnar Henderson to hit a HR --- (+312, Kalshi)

PLAYER HOME RUNSWSH@BAL· Jun 28, 1:35 PM ET

Gunnar Henderson

Over 0.5 Player Home Runs

Bet now+312

Matchup vs. Zack Littell (Nationals), Oriole Park at Camden Yards, 1:35PM ET

Gunnar is my second favorite home run pick for today's slate due to his incredible matchup vs. Littell, a struggling RHP vs. left-handed bats. Gunnar has a 13.3% pull barrel, a 53% Hard-Hit rate, and 2 home runs over his last 15 BBE. His matchup vs. Littell and the park factors both make this a great matchup.

Pick 3: Brandon Nimmo to hit a HR --- (+454, Kalshi)

PLAYER HOME RUNSTEX@TOR· Jun 28, 1:37 PM ET

Brandon Nimmo

Over 0.5 Player Home Runs

Bet now+454

Matchup vs. Shane Bieber (Blue Jays), Rogers Centre, 1:37PM ET

Nimmo has been the most unlucky hitter over the past 5 days and there's nothing you can say that will change my mind. Over his last 15 BBE, Nimmo has had just one home run with 5 near home runs, each of which is classified as a hit that would be a home run in at least one stadium. Out of these, three of them were hit over 400 feet, and four of them over 370 feet. Due to this, he has accumulated a 40% barrel rate, 73% Hard-Hit rate, along with a 43.5% blast rate. The second and third attached screenshots show how unlucky Nimmo has truly been.

HR Prop Parlay

Combining all three home run props: +6988 at Hard Rock Bet. High variance by nature — stake accordingly.
Odds are subject to change.

Yesterday's Results: 0-3 (-2.33U)
Each prop is played to WIN 1 Unit (not including original stake)
Total Results: 10-50-2 (-12.66U)
Total Wagered Today: Jcam (1.15U), Gunnar (1.03U), Nimmo (0.70U)
Results don't include any combination of picks. I'm just tracking straight bets.  

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