Best MLB Home Run Props Today HR Picks for Tuesday, June 16

I went through all 15 games on Tuesday, June 16th to find the best home run matchups so you don't have to. Using PropFinder's data tools, I've identified a combination of vulnerable pitchers, strong hitter splits, favorable weather, and ballpark factors. Below are my top three MLB home run props and best home run picks for today's slate.

Pick 1: Salvador Perez to hit a HR --- (+460, Fanatics)

PLAYER HOME RUNSKC@WSH· Jun 16, 6:45 PM ET

Salvador Perez

Over 0.5 Player Home Runs

Bet now+460

Matchup vs. Foster Griffin (Nationals), Nationals Park, 6:45PM EST

Salvador Perez has maintained a 21.4% barrel this season against Griffin's top two pitches, which consists of the Four-Seamer and Cutter. Not to mention, Foster has given up 7 homers in his last 5 outings, resulting in a mammoth 3.38 HR/9. Bottom line: Griffin struggles vs. righties, and throws Salvy's favorite pitches. Not much to hate on this matchup.

Pick 2: Dominic Canzone to hit a HR --- (+496, DraftKings)

PLAYER HOME RUNSBAL@SEA· Jun 16, 9:40 PM ET

Dominic Canzone

Over 0.5 Player Home Runs

Bet now+496

Matchup vs. Brandon Young (Orioles), T-Mobile Park, 8:40PM EST

We had Canzone recently on the blog and he came through for us. I like being unique with my picks but this guy has been one of the hottest bats in the league. As the saying goes, "if it ain't broke... don't fix it". In his last 25 PA, Canzone has accrued a 33.3% barrel along with a 19% pull barrel against the top three pitches in Young's mix. Young struggles vs. left-handed hitters, giving up a 9.3% season barrel.

Pick 3: Bryce Eldridge to hit a HR --- (+557, DraftKings)

PLAYER HOME RUNSSF@ATL· Jun 16, 7:15 PM ET

Bryce Eldridge

Over 0.5 Player Home Runs

Bet now+557

Matchup v.s Grant Holmes (Braves), Truist Park, 7:15PM EST

Eldridge has been on a heater recently, hitting 3 home runs in his last 5 games. These home runs aren't luck by any means, as the data proves. Over the season, he is posting a 24% barrel rate vs. Holmes' top two pitches in his arsenal, the Four-Seamer and Slider. He has a good air rate of over 75% (Fly-Ball + Line-Drive %). The weather is the only concern with this pick. If the rain weren't a factor, this would've been my top pick for today. However, there is a high chance this game gets postponed/delayed until things clear up, unless they decide to just play on!

HR Prop Parlay

Combining all three home run props: +21476 at DraftKings. High variance by nature — stake accordingly.
Odds are subject to change.

Yesterday's Results: 1-2 (+0.3U)
Each prop is played to WIN 1 Unit (not including original stake)
Total Results: 8-24-1 (+3.25U)
Total Wagered Today: Perez (0.67U), Canzone (0.60U), Eldridge (0.54U)
Results don't include any combination of picks. I'm just tracking straight bets.  

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