Best MLB Home Run Props Today HR Picks for Tuesday, June 23

I went through all 15 games on Tuesday, June 23rd to find the best home run matchups so you don't have to. Using PropFinder's data tools, I’ve identified a combination of vulnerable pitchers, strong hitter splits, favorable weather, and ballpark factors. Below are my top three MLB home run props and best home run picks for today's slate.

Pick 1: Bryce Harper to hit a HR --- (+375, Hard Rock Bet)

PLAYER HOME RUNSPHI@WSH· Jun 23, 6:45 PM ET

Bryce Harper

Over 0.5 Player Home Runs

Bet now+375

Matchup vs. Zack Littell (Nationals), Nationals Park, 6:45PM ET

Bryce Harper kicks off today's list due to his season stats against Littell's top two pitches. Against these pitches, Harper has 8 home runs in just over 40 BBE. He has a 15-30% barrel on both pitches Littell tends to throw to left-handed hitters. This is an all-around great matchup for Harper. You can see more of his stats below.

Pick 2: Kazuma Okamoto to hit a HR --- (+377, DraftKings)

PLAYER HOME RUNSHOU@TOR· Jun 23, 4:07 PM ET

Kazuma Okamoto

Over 0.5 Player Home Runs

Bet now+377

Matchup vs. Peter Lambert (Astros), Rogers Centre, 4:07PM ET

Okamoto has been unreal vs. Lambert's top two in his arsenal recently, hitting two home runs in the past 3 days, along with 3 barrels in the last 4 days. Lambert also proves to be a good matchup for Okamoto, giving up a near-perfect launch angle, a 25% barrel rate, and a 53% Hard-Hit rate off his heater. Okamoto will be hunting his fastball, and if he gets a hold of one, there's a great chance it lands in the second deck.

Pick 3: Jordan Walker to hit a HR --- (+459, DraftKings)

PLAYER HOME RUNSARI@STL· Jun 23, 7:45 PM ET

Jordan Walker

Over 0.5 Player Home Runs

Bet now+459

Matchup vs. Eduardo Rodriguez (Diamondbacks), Busch Stadium, 7:45PM ET

Walker rounds out today's list due to his elite barrel rate on Rodriguez's top pitch, the Four-Seamer. Walker has had the start to his season that all Cardinals fans were hoping for, and I'm expecting another good performance from him tomorrow. In just 16 BBE against a southpaw who throws a Four-Seamer, Walker has FOUR home runs. He also has an extremely low strikeout rate at just 10%. To go along with this, Walker has an elite 81% Hard-Hit rate.

HR Prop Parlay

Combining all three home run props: +11703 at DraftKings. High variance by nature — stake accordingly.
Odds are subject to change.

Yesterday's Results: 0-3 (-2U)
Each prop is played to WIN 1 Unit (not including original stake)
Total Results: 10-38-2 (-3.99U)
Total Wagered Today: Harper (0.84U), Okamoto (0.83U), Walker (0.68U)
Results don't include any combination of picks. I'm just tracking straight bets.  

Affiliate disclosure: This page may contain affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you.

Must be of legal age in your jurisdiction. Please gamble responsibly. If gambling is a problem, support is available — 1-800-GAMBLER.