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Best NHL Goalscorer Props Today: Anytime Goal Picks for Wednesday, November 4
Every prop on today's slate, ranked live: NHL Player Props Today
The picks
3 picksPicks are opinions, not guarantees. Odds may have moved since publishing.
I went through all 4 games on Wednesday, November 4 to find the best anytime goalscorer props on the NHL board. The three picks below are ranked by PropFinder's Goalscorer Matchups score, which blends a skater's own scoring form with how much the opposing defense and goalie give up.
Scores in this post run from 0 to 100, where 50 is league average, so a 90 form score means a skater is producing well above the typical player. Every number comes from PropFinder's NHL data, and prices are the best available at press time.
Sam Reinhart to score a goal (+155, theScore)
Sam Reinhart
Anytime Goalscorer
Opposing goalie: Spencer Knight (Expected)
Sam Reinhart has 8 goals in 15 games for Florida and a 97 form score, which is elite. He averages 3.07 shots and 1.6 individual high-danger chances per game, and his 7.26 expected goals are close to the 8 he has scored, so the production looks earned rather than lucky. He plays about 20 minutes a night, including just over five minutes per game on the power play, which is where much of his scoring threat comes from. His 15.5% shooting percentage is healthy without being out of line.
Chicago gives up 10.13 scoring chances, 4.87 high-danger chances, 7.8 shots and 1.27 goals per game to opposing centers, which earns an 83 matchup score. Spencer Knight is the expected starter in the Chicago net and carries a .894 save percentage over 12 games. Reinhart is +155 at theScore, better than the +143 median across 10 books. A top-tier shooter facing a leaky defense at a plus price is the case here.
Drake Batherson to score a goal (+186, Novig)
Drake Batherson
Anytime Goalscorer
Opposing goalie: Colten Ellis (Expected)
Drake Batherson has 9 goals in 16 games for Ottawa, and he has outscored his 4.46 expected goals by a wide margin, so some cooling is possible. Still, his 89 form score reflects real volume: 2.31 shots and 1.06 individual high-danger chances per game, plus about 17.5 minutes of ice time and roughly four minutes a night on the power play. He is shooting 17.7% this season, which is well above typical, so the finishing is the part to watch.
Buffalo allows right wingers 8.71 scoring chances, 3.79 high-danger chances, 8.43 shots and 1.29 goals per game, good for a 90 defense score and an 88 matchup score. Colten Ellis is expected in net with a .880 save percentage, though that is only five games, so the sample is small. Batherson is +186 at Novig versus a +170 median across 9 books. Strong form against a soft defense and a shaky goalie makes the case.
Tage Thompson to score a goal (+133, Novig)
Tage Thompson
Anytime Goalscorer
Opposing goalie: Samuel Ersson (Expected)
Tage Thompson has 10 goals in 14 games for Buffalo, the most of the three picks, and a 92 form score. He fires 4.5 shots per game, the highest volume here, with 1.36 individual high-danger chances per game. His 6.51 expected goals trail his 10 actual goals, so he is finishing above expectation. He plays about 19.5 minutes a night, with about three and a half minutes on the power play, and shoots 14.1% on the season.
Ottawa allows centers 8.25 scoring chances, 4.19 high-danger chances, 7.31 shots and 0.94 goals per game, a 79 matchup score that is solid but not extreme. Samuel Ersson is expected in the Senators net with a .866 save percentage over 7 games, a weak mark with a small sample. Thompson is +133 at Novig, just above the +130 median across 8 books. Elite shot volume against a shaky goalie is the reason to back him.
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Jake Casso
Jake is a Chicago native and lifelong sports enthusiast who brings energy, creativity, and expertise to the PropFinder team. He plays a key role in developing educational livestreams and producing YouTube content that helps sports bettors better understand betting markets, strategies, and data-driven insights.
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