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NBA Prop Picks Today: Best Player Props for Wednesday, November 4
Every prop on today's slate, ranked live: NBA Player Props Today
The picks
6 picksPicks are opinions, not guarantees. Odds may have moved since publishing.
Wednesday brings a busy NBA night, and I have six player props for it. Two come from Atlanta's trip to Washington, and the rest are spread across Milwaukee at Boston, Cleveland at Oklahoma City, Utah at New Orleans and Miami at the Clippers to close the night.
As always, the picks are ranked by PF Rating, so the order below is the order I like them in. Prices are the best available across the books we track, and lines can move before tip-off, so check the number before you bet.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 2.5 Two-Pointers Made (-185, Fanatics)
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
Over 2.5 Two-Pointers Made
Nickeil Alexander-Walker leads the board with a PF Rating of 93.5 on Over 2.5 two-pointers made at -185 on Fanatics. Alexander-Walker has cleared this line in 8 of his last 10 games and in all 8 this season, averaging 2.9 two-pointers over that recent stretch. Washington gives up the 4th most to shooting guards, a friendly spot. The one caution is his history against the Wizards, where he has gone over in just 2 of 7 meetings.
Aaron Wiggins Over 1.5 Two-Pointers Made (-189, Betano)
Aaron Wiggins
Over 1.5 Two-Pointers Made
Aaron Wiggins comes from the same game with an identical PF Rating of 93.5, this time on Over 1.5 two-pointers made at -189 on Betano. Wiggins has hit it in 8 of his last 10 and in all 8 games this season, with a recent average of 2.2. Unlike his teammate, his head-to-head record is strong at 5 of 6 against Washington, and the Wizards give up the 4th most to shooting guards. The price is steep, but the floor looks solid.
Brayden Burries Under 19.5 Pts + Reb + Ast (-139, SugarHouse)
Brayden Burries
Under 19.5 Pts + Reb + Ast
Brayden Burries is the lone Under on the card, with a PF Rating of 93.4 on Under 19.5 points, rebounds and assists at -139 on SugarHouse. Burries has stayed under in all 7 games he has played, with a recent average of 14.6, comfortably below the number. That is a small sample, so treat it with some caution. Boston gives up only the 24th most to shooting guards, which supports a quieter night for the Milwaukee guard.
Alex Caruso Over 2.5 Field Goals Made (-125, Betano)
Alex Caruso
Over 2.5 Field Goals Made
Alex Caruso carries a PF Rating of 93.3 on Over 2.5 field goals made at -125 on Betano. Caruso has made at least three shots in 9 of his last 10 games, averaging 3.3, and he is 4 of 4 this season, though that is a short run. He has also cleared it in 4 of 5 against Cleveland. The Cavaliers give up the most to shooting guards of any team, which makes this a reasonable price for the Oklahoma City guard.
Isaiah Collier Over 5.5 Points (-225, Fanatics)
Isaiah Collier
Over 5.5 Points
Isaiah Collier has the cleanest record on the card, with a PF Rating of 93 on Over 5.5 points at -225 on Fanatics. Collier is 10 of his last 10, 7 of 7 this season and 6 of 6 against New Orleans, with a recent average of 10.4 points, nearly double the line. New Orleans gives up the 3rd most to point guards. The juice is the heaviest on this list, which is the trade-off for that consistency.
Davion Mitchell Over 4.5 Field Goals Made (-118, Betano)
Davion Mitchell
Over 4.5 Field Goals Made
Davion Mitchell rounds out the card with a PF Rating of 92 on Over 4.5 field goals made at -118 on Betano. Mitchell has cleared it in 9 of his last 10 and 6 of 7 this season, averaging 6.7 made field goals recently. The Clippers give up the 5th most to point guards. His record against Los Angeles is the weak spot at just 2 of 8, but his current form and the matchup carry the pick in Miami's late game.
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Jake Casso
Jake is a Chicago native and lifelong sports enthusiast who brings energy, creativity, and expertise to the PropFinder team. He plays a key role in developing educational livestreams and producing YouTube content that helps sports bettors better understand betting markets, strategies, and data-driven insights.
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