This is an archived edition. For the latest picks see MLB Picks Today, updated every game day.
MLB Picks Today: Moneyline and Total Picks for Sunday, October 18
Every prop on today's slate, ranked live: MLB Player Props Today
Postseason coverage, game by game: MLB Playoff Predictions
The picks
1 pick
Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Odds may have moved since publishing.
Today I am covering a one-game MLB slate. These picks come from PropFinder's game projections compared with the betting market, and I only write one up where the model clearly disagrees with the price. The MLB model is 1320-1140 all-time, though it is 1-4 over the last five days, so size accordingly.
Prices move, so check your book before betting.
Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay visits Cleveland with the model projecting a close game, 3.61 runs for the Rays and 3.31 for the Guardians. Drew Rasmussen (RHP) starts for Tampa Bay and Parker Messick (LHP) takes the ball for Cleveland.
Cleveland Guardians moneyline (+117, BetRivers): PropFinder model 50.7% to win vs 46.1% implied
Cleveland Guardians
Moneyline
The model gives Cleveland a 50.7% chance to win, while the market implies 46.1% once the vig is removed. That is a 4.7 point edge on the home side.
The best price is +117 at BetRivers. As always, it is an opinion based on projections, so shop around and bet within your means.
Prices are the best we found at the time of writing and move before game time. Projections are PropFinder's game model, not guarantees. This page may contain affiliate links. Must be of legal age to wager. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, support is available: call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Odds and lines were accurate at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Must be 21+ and physically located in a jurisdiction where wagering is legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Jake Casso
Jake is a Chicago native and lifelong sports enthusiast who brings energy, creativity, and expertise to the PropFinder team. He plays a key role in developing educational livestreams and producing YouTube content that helps sports bettors better understand betting markets, strategies, and data-driven insights.
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